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Eliteserien

Referee: T Hagen

Stabaek

T T U T T

2–3

Full-time

Lillestrom

S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

2,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,7

This season — Eliteserien · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 27%

45%

Points per game

0,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

64%

55%

Both score Ø 64%

55%

73%

Average goals

3,3

2,6

Scored

1,1

1,4

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

8 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

0 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stabaek 16. · Lillestrom 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	14	9	3	2	+21	30
2	Bodo/Glimt	14	7	4	3	+14	25
3	Kristiansund	13	7	2	4	+1	23
4	Rosenborg	14	6	4	4	+7	22
5	Valerenga	14	5	6	3	+5	21
6	Odd	12	5	4	3	+0	19
7	Haugesund	11	5	3	3	+5	18
8	Lillestrom	11	5	3	3	+1	18
9	Viking	13	5	3	5	-3	18
10	Stromsgodset	12	4	4	4	-4	16
11	Sandefjord	11	5	0	6	-4	15
12	Sarpsborg 08	12	3	4	5	-6	13
13	Mjondalen	11	2	5	4	+1	11
14	Tromso	13	2	4	7	-12	10
15	Brann	14	1	4	9	-14	7
16	Stabaek	11	1	3	7	-12	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	7	6	0	1	+17	18
2	Bodo/Glimt	8	5	2	1	+13	17
3	Haugesund	6	5	1	0	+11	16
4	Kristiansund	7	5	1	1	+5	16
5	Stromsgodset	6	4	2	0	+8	14
6	Rosenborg	7	4	1	2	+7	13
7	Lillestrom	6	4	1	1	+3	13
8	Viking	6	3	2	1	+5	11
9	Odd	5	3	2	0	+5	11
10	Valerenga	7	2	4	1	+4	10
11	Sandefjord	6	3	0	3	+0	9
12	Mjondalen	5	1	3	1	+2	6
13	Sarpsborg 08	6	1	3	2	-1	6
14	Brann	7	1	3	3	-3	6
15	Stabaek	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Tromso	6	0	2	4	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	7	3	3	1	+4	12
2	Valerenga	7	3	2	2	+1	11
3	Rosenborg	7	2	3	2	+0	9
4	Bodo/Glimt	6	2	2	2	+1	8
5	Odd	7	2	2	3	-5	8
6	Tromso	7	2	2	3	-5	8
7	Kristiansund	6	2	1	3	-4	7
8	Sarpsborg 08	6	2	1	3	-5	7
9	Viking	7	2	1	4	-8	7
10	Sandefjord	5	2	0	3	-4	6
11	Mjondalen	6	1	2	3	-1	5
12	Lillestrom	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Haugesund	5	0	2	3	-6	2
14	Stabaek	6	0	2	4	-7	2
15	Stromsgodset	6	0	2	4	-12	2
16	Brann	7	0	1	6	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.