Primeira Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
Estoril
Boavista
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
Unlock with ProAlready have an account? Log in
Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Benfica
|
25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | +43 | 63 |
| 2 |
Porto
|
25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | +46 | 62 |
| 3 |
Sp Lisbon
|
25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | +21 | 51 |
| 4 |
Sp Braga
|
25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | +15 | 43 |
| 5 |
Guimaraes
|
25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | +6 | 41 |
| 6 |
Maritimo
|
25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | +0 | 37 |
| 7 |
Rio Ave
|
25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 |
Boavista
|
25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | +2 | 33 |
| 9 |
Chaves
|
25 | 7 | 12 | 6 | +1 | 33 |
| 10 |
Belenenses
|
25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | -7 | 32 |
| 11 |
Vitoria Setubal
|
25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | -2 | 30 |
| 12 |
Feirense
|
25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -17 | 29 |
| 13 |
Arouca
|
25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | -16 | 27 |
| 14 |
Pacos Ferreira
|
25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 |
Estoril
|
25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -14 | 21 |
| 16 |
Moreirense
|
25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -16 | 20 |
| 17 |
Nacional
|
25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -24 | 17 |
| 18 |
Tondela
|
25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | -26 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Guimaraes
Estoril
Estoril
Rio Ave
Estoril
Sp Lisbon
Moreirense
Estoril
Estoril
Pacos Ferreira
Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida · 167 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.