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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Clos Gomez
Sp Gijon
T T S S U
2–2
Full-time
Vallecano
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Gijon Vallecano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — La Liga · 22/23 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
26%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
55%
70%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
57%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,6
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

37% Possession 63%
11 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 5
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Gijon 16. · Vallecano 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 22 17 3 2 +39 54
2 Ath Madrid 23 16 3 4 +23 51
3 Real Madrid 23 15 5 3 +45 50
4 Villarreal 23 13 6 4 +11 45
5 Sevilla 23 10 7 6 +8 37
6 Ath Bilbao 23 10 5 8 +3 35
7 Celta 23 10 5 8 -2 35
8 Eibar 23 9 6 8 +5 33
9 La Coruna 23 6 13 4 +3 31
10 Malaga 23 8 6 9 +1 30
11 Sociedad 23 7 6 10 -3 27
12 Getafe 23 7 5 11 -9 26
13 Valencia 23 5 10 8 +2 25
14 Betis 23 6 7 10 -15 25
15 Vallecano 23 6 5 12 -17 23
16 Sp Gijon 22 6 4 12 -12 22
17 Espanol 23 6 4 13 -26 22
18 Las Palmas 23 5 6 12 -13 21
19 Granada 23 5 5 13 -21 20
20 Levante 23 4 5 14 -22 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Sep -15 Vallecano – Sp Gijon 2–1

Match report

Sp Gijon Vallecano
1–0 Guerrero
5′
A. Halilović 🔁
↦ D. NDi
9′
22′
🟨 Nacho Martinez
Ognjen Vranješ 🟨
27′
30′
🟨 Quini
39′
N. Fedor 1–1
Pablo Hernández
Rachid Aït-Atmane 🟨
44′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 A. Halilović
Jony
46′
46′
🔁 M. Iturra
↦ Quini
58′
Jozabed 2–2
Tito
62′
🟨 Manuel Iturra
Sergio Álvarez 🟨
63′
Carlos Castro 🔁
↦ Guerrero
70′
71′
🔁 Adri Embarba
↦ Bebé
77′
🟨 Pablo Hernández
Álex Menéndez 🔁
↦ Carlos Carmona
81′
81′
🔁 Piti
↦ Pablo Hernández
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sp Gijon

1 Pichu Cuéllar G
21 O. Vranješ D
2 Luis Hernández D
28 Jorge Meré D
18 Isma López M
6 Sergio Álvarez M
24 R. Aït-Atmane M
33 D. N'Di M
19 Carlos Carmona M
9 Guerrero F
23 Jony M
Bench (7)
25 A. Halilović
16 Carlos Castro
3 Álex Menéndez
8 Álex Barrera
11 Lora
13 Alberto García
17 Omar Mascarell

Vallecano

13 Juan Carlos G
5 Chechu Dorado D
2 Tito D
3 Nacho Martínez D
27 Diego Llorente D
14 Pablo Hernández M
10 Roberto Trashorras M
21 Jozabed M
17 Quini D
7 N. Fedor F
23 Bebé F
Bench (7)
6 M. Iturra
11 Adri Embarba
12 Piti
9 Manucho Gonçalves
22 José Crespo
25 Yoel
26 Jonatan Caballero

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Carlos Clos Gomez · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.