Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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QPR
Middlesbrough
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Norwich
|
21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | +14 | 43 |
| 2 |
Leeds
|
20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | +14 | 39 |
| 3 |
West Brom
|
21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | +15 | 38 |
| 4 |
Derby
|
20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | +10 | 37 |
| 5 |
Sheffield United
|
22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +9 | 37 |
| 6 |
Middlesbrough
|
21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | +9 | 36 |
| 7 |
Nott'm Forest
|
21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | +10 | 34 |
| 8 |
Aston Villa
|
20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | +9 | 31 |
| 9 |
Birmingham
|
21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | +5 | 30 |
| 10 |
Stoke
|
21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | +2 | 30 |
| 11 |
Blackburn
|
21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | -4 | 30 |
| 12 |
Swansea
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | +2 | 29 |
| 13 |
Bristol City
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | +1 | 29 |
| 14 |
QPR
|
21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | -6 | 28 |
| 15 |
Preston
|
21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | -3 | 25 |
| 16 |
Wigan
|
21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 25 |
| 17 |
Sheffield Weds
|
21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | -11 | 24 |
| 18 |
Brentford
|
21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | +1 | 22 |
| 19 |
Hull
|
21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -9 | 21 |
| 20 |
Rotherham
|
21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | -11 | 21 |
| 21 |
Millwall
|
21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -9 | 19 |
| 22 |
Reading
|
21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -8 | 18 |
| 23 |
Bolton
|
21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -14 | 18 |
| 24 |
Ipswich
|
21 | 1 | 8 | 12 | -20 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Bidwell
D
D. Furlong
D
P. Wszołek
M
E. Eze
F
Coach: S. McClaren
Coach: T. Pulis
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Oliver Langford · 107 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.