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Championship
Referee: Oliver Langford
QPR
S U U T T
2–1
Full-time
Middlesbrough
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

QPR Middlesbrough
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Championship · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 41%
38%
43%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
52%
24%
Both score Ø 38%
43%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
17 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 5
7 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match QPR 14. · Middlesbrough 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 21 13 4 4 +14 43
2 Leeds 20 11 6 3 +14 39
3 West Brom 21 11 5 5 +15 38
4 Derby 20 11 4 5 +10 37
5 Sheffield United 22 11 4 7 +9 37
6 Middlesbrough 21 9 9 3 +9 36
7 Nott'm Forest 21 8 10 3 +10 34
8 Aston Villa 20 8 7 5 +9 31
9 Birmingham 21 7 9 5 +5 30
10 Stoke 21 7 9 5 +2 30
11 Blackburn 21 7 9 5 -4 30
12 Swansea 21 8 5 8 +2 29
13 Bristol City 21 8 5 8 +1 29
14 QPR 21 8 4 9 -6 28
15 Preston 21 6 7 8 -3 25
16 Wigan 21 7 4 10 -6 25
17 Sheffield Weds 21 6 6 9 -11 24
18 Brentford 21 5 7 9 +1 22
19 Hull 21 5 6 10 -9 21
20 Rotherham 21 4 9 8 -11 21
21 Millwall 21 4 7 10 -9 19
22 Reading 21 4 6 11 -8 18
23 Bolton 21 4 6 11 -14 18
24 Ipswich 21 1 8 12 -20 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

QPR Middlesbrough
1–0 P. Wszołek
J. Bidwell
4′
Half-time 1–1
51′
G. Saville 1–1
J. Scowen 🔁
↦ J. Lynch
52′
58′
🟨 George Saville
2–1 N. Wells
P. Wszołek
60′
64′
🔁 L. Wing
↦ J. Howson
64′
🔁 M. Tavernier
↦ S. Downing
73′
🟨 Aden Flint
82′
🔁 A. Fletcher
↦ G. Saville
88′
🟨 Britt Assombalonga
M. Smith 🔁
↦ E. Eze
88′
A. Oteh 🔁
↦ N. Wells
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

QPR

4-4-1-1
13 J. Lumley G
33 J. Lynch D
3 J. Bidwell D
37 T. Leistner D
2 D. Furlong D
23 P. Wszołek M
8 J. Cousins M
21 M. Luongo M
10 E. Eze F
7 L. Freeman M
32 N. Wells F
Bench (7)
11 J. Scowen
17 M. Smith
18 A. Oteh
1 M. Ingram
19 I. Chair
20 B. Osayi-Samuel
38 P. Smyth

Coach: S. McClaren

Middlesbrough

4-3-3
23 D. Randolph G
5 R. Shotton D
3 G. Friend D
4 Daniel Ayala D
24 A. Flint D
19 S. Downing F
16 J. Howson M
8 A. Clayton M
22 G. Saville M
9 B. Assombalonga F
11 J. Hugill F
Bench (7)
26 L. Wing
28 M. Tavernier
18 A. Fletcher
1 D. Konstantopoulos
6 D. Batth
17 P. McNair
20 D. Fry

Coach: T. Pulis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Oliver Langford · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.