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Bundesliga

Referee: Manuel Gräfe

Mainz

U T T S S

2–1

Full-time

Schalke 04

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Schalke 04

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,8

This season — Bundesliga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 48%

45%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

50%

60%

Both score Ø 48%

40%

55%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%

11 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 5

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mainz 7. · Schalke 04 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	20	17	2	1	+41	53
2	Dortmund	20	14	3	3	+28	45
3	Hertha	20	10	5	5	+8	35
4	Schalke 04	20	10	3	7	+3	33
5	Leverkusen	20	9	5	6	+8	32
6	M'gladbach	20	10	2	8	+5	32
7	Mainz	20	9	3	8	+1	30
8	Wolfsburg	20	7	6	7	+1	27
9	FC Koln	20	6	8	6	-5	26
10	FC Ingolstadt 04	20	7	5	8	-7	26
11	Darmstadt	20	6	6	8	-8	24
12	Stuttgart	20	7	3	10	-10	24
13	Hamburg	20	6	5	9	-6	23
14	Augsburg	20	5	6	9	-6	21
15	Ein Frankfurt	20	5	6	9	-8	21
16	Werder Bremen	20	5	4	11	-17	19
17	Hoffenheim	20	2	8	10	-12	14
18	Hannover	20	4	2	14	-16	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	10	10	0	0	+31	30
2	Dortmund	9	8	1	0	+22	25
3	M'gladbach	11	7	1	3	+8	22
4	Wolfsburg	10	6	3	1	+14	21
5	Hertha	10	6	3	1	+7	21
6	Schalke 04	11	6	2	3	+3	20
7	Leverkusen	10	5	3	2	+9	18
8	Mainz	10	5	1	4	+1	16
9	FC Ingolstadt 04	10	4	2	4	-1	14
10	FC Koln	10	3	4	3	-1	13
11	Stuttgart	10	4	1	5	-6	13
12	Ein Frankfurt	10	3	3	4	-3	12
13	Hamburg	10	2	3	5	-3	9
14	Augsburg	10	2	3	5	-4	9
15	Hoffenheim	10	1	5	4	-5	8
16	Darmstadt	10	1	4	5	-10	7
17	Hannover	10	2	0	8	-6	6
18	Werder Bremen	9	1	2	6	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	10	7	2	1	+10	23
2	Dortmund	11	6	2	3	+6	20
3	Darmstadt	10	5	2	3	+2	17
4	Hertha	10	4	2	4	+1	14
5	Mainz	10	4	2	4	+0	14
6	Leverkusen	10	4	2	4	-1	14
7	Hamburg	10	4	2	4	-3	14
8	Werder Bremen	11	4	2	5	-6	14
9	Schalke 04	9	4	1	4	+0	13
10	FC Koln	10	3	4	3	-4	13
11	Augsburg	10	3	3	4	-2	12
12	FC Ingolstadt 04	10	3	3	4	-6	12
13	Stuttgart	10	3	2	5	-4	11
14	M'gladbach	9	3	1	5	-3	10
15	Ein Frankfurt	10	2	3	5	-5	9
16	Hannover	10	2	2	6	-10	8
17	Hoffenheim	10	1	3	6	-7	6
18	Wolfsburg	10	1	3	6	-13	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.