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Bundesliga
Referee: Gunter Perl
Hamburg
T T T T U
0–3
Full-time
Ein Frankfurt
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Ein Frankfurt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,2
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 22%
0%
43%
Points per game
0,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
29%
43%
Both score Ø 36%
29%
43%
Average goals
2,0
2,6
Scored
0,3
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%
3 Shots 13
0 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamburg 17. · Ein Frankfurt 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 7 5 2 0 +14 17
2 FC Koln 7 4 3 0 +8 15
3 RB Leipzig 7 4 3 0 +7 15
4 Hertha 7 4 2 1 +4 14
5 Dortmund 7 4 1 2 +10 13
6 Hoffenheim 7 3 4 0 +3 13
7 Mainz 7 3 2 2 +2 11
8 Ein Frankfurt 7 3 2 2 +2 11
9 M'gladbach 7 3 2 2 +0 11
10 Leverkusen 7 3 1 3 +2 10
11 Freiburg 7 3 0 4 -3 9
12 Augsburg 7 2 2 3 -3 8
13 Werder Bremen 7 2 1 4 -9 7
14 Wolfsburg 7 1 3 3 -4 6
15 Darmstadt 7 1 2 4 -9 5
16 Schalke 04 7 1 1 5 -4 4
17 Hamburg 7 0 2 5 -10 2
18 FC Ingolstadt 04 7 0 1 6 -10 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamburg Ein Frankfurt
25′
🟨 Mijat Gaćinović
30′
🟨 Bastian Oczipka
35′
L. Holtby 1–0
own goal
Dennis Diekmeier 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–0
B. Wood 🔁
↦ A. Halilović
46′
L. Waldschmidt 🔁
↦ E. Spahić
55′
Dennis Diekmeier 🟨
57′
Dennis Diekmeier 🟥
57′
59′
🟨 Timothy Chandler
60′
S. Tarashaj 1–1
M. Fabián
61′
🔁 H. Seferović
↦ S. Tarashaj
69′
H. Seferović 1–2
M. Fabián
G. Sakai 🔁
↦ F. Kostić
72′
76′
🔁 A. Meier
↦ B. Hrgota
82′
🟨 Marco Fabián
82′
🔁 T. Tawatha
↦ B. Oczipka
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hamburg

4-2-3-1
1 R. Adler
4 E. Spahić D
2 D. Diekmeier D
6 Douglas Santos D
28 G. Jung M
20 A. Ekdal M
27 N. Müller M
8 L. Holtby M
17 F. Kostić M
23 A. Halilović M
10 P. Lasogga F
Bench (7)
7 B. Wood
15 L. Waldschmidt
24 G. Sakai
11 M. Gregoritsch
14 A. Hunt
22 M. Ostrzolek
31 C. Mathenia

Coach: M. Gisdol

Ein Frankfurt

4-2-3-1
1 L. Hradecky G
19 D. Abraham D
6 B. Oczipka M
22 T. Chandler M
5 Jesús Vallejo D
20 M. Hasebe D
10 M. Fabián M
39 Omar Mascarell M
11 M. Gaćinović M
31 B. Hrgota F
30 S. Tarashaj F
Bench (7)
9 H. Seferović
14 A. Meier
33 T. Tawatha
2 Y. Regäsel
13 H. Lindner
15 M. Hector
25 S. Medojević

Coach: N. Kovač

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Gunter Perl · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.