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Championship
Referee: Chris Kavanagh
Middlesbrough
T S S S T
1–0
Full-time
QPR
U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,3
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Championship · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 44%
56%
31%
Points per game
1,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
50%
56%
Both score Ø 41%
31%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
11 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 0
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
9 Corners 3
6 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Middlesbrough 4. · QPR 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hull 16 10 4 2 +18 34
2 Brighton 15 9 6 0 +9 33
3 Burnley 16 9 5 2 +9 32
4 Middlesbrough 16 9 3 4 +12 30
5 Derby 16 8 6 2 +11 30
6 Birmingham 16 8 4 4 +7 28
7 Cardiff 16 6 7 3 +5 25
8 Reading 16 6 6 4 +6 24
9 Ipswich 16 6 6 4 +0 24
10 Sheffield Weds 15 6 5 4 +1 23
11 Brentford 16 6 3 7 -2 21
12 Fulham 16 5 5 6 +1 20
13 QPR 16 5 5 6 -2 20
14 Wolves 16 5 4 7 -1 19
15 Leeds 16 4 7 5 -3 19
16 Blackburn 16 3 8 5 +0 17
17 Preston 16 3 8 5 -2 17
18 Nott'm Forest 16 4 5 7 -4 17
19 Huddersfield 16 3 6 7 -7 15
20 Bristol City 16 3 6 7 -9 15
21 Milton Keynes Dons 16 4 2 10 -9 14
22 Charlton 16 3 4 9 -12 13
23 Bolton 16 1 8 7 -12 11
24 Rotherham 16 2 3 11 -16 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Middlesbrough QPR
Grant Leadbitter 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Alejandro Faurlin
C. Stuani 🔁
↦ D. Fabbrini
63′
70′
🟨 Matt Phillips
73′
🟨 Nedum Onuoha
76′
🔁 D. Tőzsér
↦ A. Faurlin
Kike 🔁
↦ A. Adomah
78′
82′
🔁 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
↦ Sandro
90′
🟥 Leroy Fer
1–0 G. Leadbitter
93′
95′
🔁 M. Petrasso
↦ Suk-Young Yoon
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Middlesbrough

1 D. Konstantopoulos G
3 G. Friend D
4 Daniel Ayala D
6 B. Gibson D
19 S. Downing F
7 G. Leadbitter M
24 Nsue D
27 A. Adomah M
8 A. Clayton M
35 D. Nugent F
31 D. Fabbrini F
Bench (7)
18 C. Stuani
9 Kike
36 B. Zuculini
39 J. Woodgate
16 J. Stephens
10 C. De Pena
13 Tomás

QPR

1 R. Green G
15 P. Konchesky D
5 N. Onuoha D
24 J. Perch D
22 Suk-Young Yoon D
4 G. Hall D
20 K. Henry M
10 L. Fer M
18 A. Faurlin M
7 M. Phillips M
30 Sandro M
Bench (7)
28 D. Tőzsér
14 J. Emmanuel-Thomas
34 M. Petrasso
26 G. Angella
21 M. Luongo
36 T. Blackwood
25 A. Smithies

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Chris Kavanagh · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.