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OBOS-ligaen

Referee: S Hauge

Sogndal

U T T S U

0–1

Full-time

Lillestrom

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sogndal Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,5

Scored

0,8

2,5

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,5

This season — OBOS-ligaen · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 55%

52%

57%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

57%

52%

Both score Ø 53%

57%

48%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sogndal 3. · Lillestrom 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tromso	25	16	4	5	+24	52
2	Lillestrom	23	13	6	4	+20	45
3	Sogndal	23	12	5	6	+17	41
4	Ranheim	23	12	4	7	+25	40
5	Asane	23	11	6	6	+16	39
6	KFUM Oslo	25	9	8	8	+0	35
7	Jerv	24	8	7	9	-12	31
8	Stjørdals-Blink	24	8	6	10	-1	30
9	Strommen	24	8	6	10	-5	30
10	Ham-Kam	25	8	6	11	-7	30
11	Sandnes ULF	24	8	6	10	-14	30
12	Raufoss	24	7	8	9	+0	29
13	Ull/Kisa	25	8	5	12	-14	29
14	Grorud	24	7	6	11	-8	27
15	Øygarden	25	5	7	13	-23	22
16	Kongsvinger	25	4	8	13	-18	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tromso	13	10	2	1	+16	32
2	Sogndal	10	8	1	1	+16	25
3	Sandnes ULF	12	7	3	2	+5	24
4	Ranheim	12	7	2	3	+18	23
5	Lillestrom	11	7	2	2	+12	23
6	KFUM Oslo	13	6	4	3	+8	22
7	Strommen	12	6	4	2	+7	22
8	Asane	12	6	3	3	+7	21
9	Ull/Kisa	13	6	3	4	+0	21
10	Jerv	12	6	3	3	-1	21
11	Raufoss	12	5	5	2	+6	20
12	Stjørdals-Blink	13	5	3	5	+3	18
13	Grorud	12	5	2	5	+0	17
14	Øygarden	12	3	5	4	-3	14
15	Ham-Kam	12	3	3	6	-3	12
16	Kongsvinger	12	2	4	6	-8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lillestrom	12	6	4	2	+8	22
2	Tromso	12	6	2	4	+8	20
3	Asane	11	5	3	3	+9	18
4	Ham-Kam	13	5	3	5	-4	18
5	Ranheim	11	5	2	4	+7	17
6	Sogndal	13	4	4	5	+1	16
7	KFUM Oslo	12	3	4	5	-8	13
8	Stjørdals-Blink	11	3	3	5	-4	12
9	Grorud	12	2	4	6	-8	10
10	Kongsvinger	13	2	4	7	-10	10
11	Jerv	12	2	4	6	-11	10
12	Raufoss	12	2	3	7	-6	9
13	Strommen	12	2	2	8	-12	8
14	Ull/Kisa	12	2	2	8	-14	8
15	Øygarden	13	2	2	9	-20	8
16	Sandnes ULF	12	1	3	8	-19	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.