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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Stromsgodset
T U T T T
2–0
Full-time
Sandefjord
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Sandefjord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,2
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,5
0,2
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-2,0
This season — Eliteserien · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 14%
18%
9%
Points per game
0,8
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
64%
55%
Both score Ø 50%
55%
45%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
16 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
12 Corners 2
6 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 13. · Sandefjord 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 11 8 3 0 +14 27
2 Rosenborg 11 7 3 1 +12 24
3 Ranheim 11 7 2 2 +7 23
4 Valerenga 12 6 3 3 +1 21
5 Sarpsborg 08 11 5 4 2 +7 19
6 Haugesund 11 5 3 3 +3 18
7 Tromso 11 5 2 4 +5 17
8 Molde 11 5 2 4 +2 17
9 Odd 11 5 1 5 +4 16
10 Kristiansund 11 3 4 4 +1 13
11 Lillestrom 12 3 2 7 -7 11
12 Stabaek 11 2 4 5 -7 10
13 Stromsgodset 11 2 3 6 -5 9
14 Bodo/Glimt 11 2 3 6 -6 9
15 Start 11 2 1 8 -16 7
16 Sandefjord 11 1 2 8 -15 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Sandefjord
1–0 Marcus Pedersen
J. Parr
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Lars Grorud
67′
🔁 S. Shamohammad
↦ Pau Morer
73′
🔁 H. Nilsen
↦ E. Kane
A. Pellegrino 🔁
↦ T. Nguen
81′
81′
🔁 A. Sødlund
↦ Enric Vallès
Amahl Pellegrino 🟨
83′
2–0 A. Pellegrino
E. Andersen
83′
Tokmac Chol Nguen 🟨
84′
M. Abdellaoue 🔁
↦ Marcus Pedersen
85′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-2-3-1
1 E. Pettersen G
3 J. Parr D
39 L. Sætra
5 J. Glesnes D
17 C. Lindquist D
6 H. Hauger M
7 H. Stengel M
23 E. Andersen M
93 T. Nguen M
8 Bassel Jradi M
10 Marcus Pedersen F
Bench (7)
90 A. Pellegrino
30 M. Abdellaoue
11 K. Tokstad
19 Francisco Júnior
20 P. Heigre
26 L. Vilsvik
28 M. Høibråten

Coach: T. Skullerud

Sandefjord

12 E. Johansen G
2 L. Grorud D
17 J. Solberg M
19 V. Bindia D
4 C. Reppesgård
16 E. Kane D
5 Enric Vallès M
15 P. Engblom F
11 F. Kastrati F
6 M. Ofkir M
10 Pau Morer M
Bench (7)
25 S. Shamohammad
34 H. Nilsen
22 A. Sødlund
13 A. Eleftheriou
1 I. Jónsson
8 E. Mjelde
46 G. Gibson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.