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Europa League
Referee: Granit Maqedonci
Aktobe
U T T S T
0–1
Full-time
Legia
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aktobe Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Jul -25 Legia – Aktobe 1–0

Match report

Aktobe Legia
Daniyar Usenov 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
L. Skvortsov 🔁
↦ A. Tanzharikov
46′
Nikita Korzun 🟨
56′
J. Jean 🔁
↦ V. Shvyrev
59′
O. Omirtaev 🔁
↦ A. Shushenachev
59′
Bogdan Vătăjelu 🟨
61′
62′
🔁 K. Chodyna
↦ R. Morishita
62′
🔁 J. Nsame
↦ M. Gual
74′
🔁 M. Alfarela
↦ V. Bichakhchyan
A. Baydavletov 🔁
↦ D. Usenov
75′
90′
⚽ J. Elitim 0–1
K. Chodyna
93′
🔁 W. Urbanski
↦ B. Kapustka
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Aktobe

25 A. Vlad
31 A. Tanzharikov
30 N. Korzun
26 N. Andjelkovic
5 B. Kairov
14 V. Shvyrev
7 D. Sosah
88 B. Vatajelu
20 G. Zhukov
11 A. Shushenachev
29 D. Usenov
Bench (11)
1 I. Trofimets
52 S. Kusainov
2 L. Skvortsov
4 U. Agbo
10 I. Umaev
12 A. Doumbouya
18 J. Jean
19 O. Omirtaev
22 E. Seydakhmet
23 T. Kusyapov
42 A. Baydavletov

Legia

4-3-3
1 K. Tobiasz
7 P. Wszolek
12 R. Pankov
3 S. Kapuadi
23 P. Kun
67 B. Kapustka
8 R. Augustyniak
22 J. Elitim
21 V. Bichakhchyan
28 M. Gual
25 R. Morishita
Bench (10)
27 G. Kobylak
50 W. Banasik
4 M. Burch
9 M. Alfarela
11 K. Chodyna
18 J. Nsame
19 R. Vinagre
24 J. Ziolkowski
51 P. Mozie
53 W. Urbanski

Coach: Edward Marius Iordănescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Granit Maqedonci · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.