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Conference League
Referee: Aaron Wyn Jones
La Fiorita
T S T T T
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

La Fiorita Vardar Skopje
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
0,3
3,0
Conceded
2,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
-2,2
+3,0
This season — Conference League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
3,0
Conceded
3,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

La Fiorita Vardar Skopje
1–0 J. Felipe
10′
Francesco Vivacqua 🟨
18′
Giacomo Zaccaria 🟨
43′
43′
🟨 Goran Zakarić
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 D. Danev
↦ G. Zakaric
46′
🔁 D. Castaneda
↦ D. Todorovski
46′
🔁 R. Mato
↦ D. Dongmo
Tommaso Zafferani 🟨
54′
54′
🟨 Nemanja Bosančić
Manuel Musiani 🟨
55′
59′
R. Mato 1–1
A. Guidi 🔁
↦ F. Vivacqua
65′
L. Dormi 🔁
↦ J. Felipe
65′
A. Toccaceli 🔁
↦ T. Zafferani
65′
73′
🔁 F. Duranski
↦ N. Bosancic
84′
A. Grandoni 2–1
own goal
N. Prasso 🔁
↦ D. Cicarelli
85′
87′
🔁 E. Spahiu
↦ I. Olaosebikan
2–2 G. Jankulov
own goal
90′
R. Spadaccino 🔁
↦ A. Riccardi
91′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

La Fiorita

3-5-2
27 G. Vivan G
2 M. Musiani D
16 M. Drudi D
32 A. Grandoni D
33 T. Zafferani M
21 F. Baldinini M
20 D. Cicarelli
4 G. Zaccaria M
46 A. Riccardi D
17 J. Felipe F
94 F. Vivacqua
Bench (11)
1 M. Zavoli
5 M. Mazzotti
6 F. Santi
8 L. Lunadei
10 A. Guidi
11 J. Semprini
13 N. Prasso
14 R. Spadaccino
23 L. Dormi
29 A. Cerchiaro
30 A. Toccaceli

Coach: Stefano Ceci

Vardar Skopje

4-4-2
95 D. Taleski G
21 G. Jankulov D
4 M. Matic D
18 N. Mishkovski D
3 M. Manevski D
88 N. Bosancic M
29 I. Olaosebikan M
7 D. Dongmo M
22 D. Todorovski M
10 G. Zakaric F
9 A. Omeragikj F
Bench (11)
1 M. Velkovski
11 D. Danev
14 G. Cvetkov
17 E. Spahiu
19 M. Talevski
20 K. Nikolovski
23 F. Duranski
27 M. Cuestas
32 D. Castaneda
47 R. Mato
75 F. Senghor

Coach: Goce Sedloski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.