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Europa League
Referee: Gustavo Correia
FK Partizan
T U T T T
1–0
Full-time
AEK Larnaca
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Partizan AEK Larnaca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
0,3
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Jul -25 AEK Larnaca – FK Partizan 1–0 11. Aug -22 FK Partizan – AEK Larnaca 2–2 4. Aug -22 AEK Larnaca – FK Partizan 2–1

Match report

FK Partizan AEK Larnaca
Jovan Milošević 🟨
14′
37′
🟨 Valentin Roberge
Half-time 0–0
Miramon 🔁
↦ M. Rohden
61′
62′
🔁 A. Kostic
↦ J. Milosevic
62′
🔁 B. Natcho
↦ M. Vukotic
62′
🔁 A. Kalulu
↦ N. Trifunovic
63′
🟨 Yerson Chacón
1–0 O. Ugresic ⚽
D. Seck
69′
75′
🔁 B. Kostic
↦ D. Seck
D. Ivanovic 🔁
↦ W. Rubio
77′
J. Gnali 🔁
↦ A. Garcia
77′
Mateja Milovanović 🟨
83′
91′
🔁 Y. Karabelyov
↦ O. Ugresic
C. Loukaidis 🔁
↦ K. Angielski
96′
Jimmy Suarez 🔁
↦ G. Ekpolo
103′
104′
⚽ P. Pons 1–1
J. Gnali
106′
🔁 D. Jovanovic
↦ M. Jurcevic
2–1 D. Jovanovic ⚽
118′
Andrej Kostić 🟨
120′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

FK Partizan

4-2-3-1
1 Z. Alomerovic
22 G. Ekpolo
15 H. Milicevic
27 V. Roberge
14 A. Garcia
8 M. Rohden
7 Ledes Gustavo
17 P. Pons
18 Y. Chacon
10 W. Rubio
19 K. Angielski
Bench (11)
51 A. Paraskevas
99 D. Demetriou
2 P. Ioannou
6 Jimmy Suarez
9 D. Ivanovic
21 Miramon
24 Danny Henriques
36 C. Loukaidis
41 Mathias Gonzalez
44 K. Evripidou
93 J. Gnali

Coach: Srđan Blagojević

AEK Larnaca

4-3-1-2
1 M. Milosevic
30 M. Roganovic
24 V. Djurdjevic
5 M. Milovanovic
4 M. Jurcevic
36 O. Ugresic
6 V. Dragojevic
19 D. Seck
11 M. Vukotic
32 N. Trifunovic
7 J. Milosevic
Bench (12)
31 M. Krunic
2 A. Stojkovic
9 A. Kostic
10 B. Natcho
15 A. Kalulu
28 Y. Karabelyov
33 S. Petrovic
40 N. Simic
70 D. Jankovic
90 Z. Alilovic
99 B. Kostic
42 D. Jovanovic

Coach: Joseba Imanol Idiakez Barkaiztegi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Gustavo Correia · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.