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Conference League
Referee: J Kehlet
Slovan Bratislava
S U S S U
2–2
Full-time
Basel
S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Slovan Bratislava Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 9/15 matches
Win Ø 46%
44%
47%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
56%
40%
Both score Ø 52%
56%
47%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,88 xG 1,12
34% Possession 66%
13 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 7
5 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Mar -23 Basel – Slovan Bratislava 2–2 13. Oct -22 Slovan Bratislava – Basel 3–3 6. Oct -22 Basel – Slovan Bratislava 0–2

Match report

Slovan Bratislava Basel
1–0 M. Abubakari ⚽
10′
2–0 J. Kucka ⚽
17′
Half-time 2–0
Vernon De Marco 🟨
46′
53′
⚽ R. Calafiori 2–1
M. Lang
66′
🔁 D. Males
↦ J. Augustin
66′
🔁 Sergio López
↦ A. Kade
F. Lichý 🔁
↦ G. Chakvetadze
73′
82′
🔁 B. Fink
↦ T. Xhaka
85′
🟨 Andi Zeqiri
Lucas Lovat 🟨
86′
Z. Sharani 🔁
↦ M. Abubakari
92′
M. Jarjué 🔁
↦ V. Weiss
92′
93′
⚽ Z. Amdouni 2–2
A. Diouf
T. Barseghyan 🔁
↦ A. Čavrić
97′
101′
🔁 W. Burger
↦ D. Ndoye
104′
🟨 Riccardo Calafiori
M. Trnovský 🔁
↦ A. Chovan
121′
121′
⚽ A. Diouf 2–3
J. Kucka ❌
penalty missed
122′
123′
⚽ Z. Amdouni 2–4
T. Barseghyan ❌
penalty missed
124′
125′
⚽ R. Calafiori 2–5
3–5 Lucas Lovat ⚽
126′
127′
⚽ D. Males 3–6
Full-time 3–6

Line-ups

Slovan Bratislava

4-1-4-1
1 A. Chovan G
17 J. Medveděv D
4 G. Kashia D
81 V. De Marco D
36 Lucas Lovat D
20 J. Kankava M
77 A. Čavrić M
33 J. Kucka M
70 G. Chakvetadze M
7 V. Weiss M
15 M. Abubakari F
Bench (12)
26 F. Lichý
23 Z. Sharani
6 M. Jarjué
11 T. Barseghyan
31 M. Trnovský
28 N. Marcelli
3 U. Agbo
25 L. Pauschek
19 A. Green
21 J. Zmrhal
5 R. Križan
35 A. Hrdina

Coach: V. Weiss

Basel

4-4-2
1 M. Hitz G
5 M. Lang D
21 A. Pelmard D
33 R. Calafiori D
30 A. Kade D
27 D. Ndoye M
8 A. Diouf M
34 T. Xhaka M
9 Z. Amdouni M
17 A. Zeqiri F
10 J. Augustin F
Bench (10)
19 D. Males
22 Sergio López
14 B. Fink
23 W. Burger
7 L. Millar
15 K. Adams
28 H. Vogel
16 N. de Mol
13 M. Salvi
18 E. Essiam

Coach: H. Vogel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Kehlet · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.