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Conference League
Referee: C Dingert
Basel
S U U T U
2–1
Full-time
Brondby
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Brondby
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,5
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

57% Possession 43%
30 Shots 9
11 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
11 Corners 3
4 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 15
5 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Aug -22 Brondby – Basel 1–0

Match report

Basel Brondby
12′
🟨 Christian Cappis
19′
🔁 H. Heggheim
↦ B. Riveros
Kasim Adams 🟨
21′
21′
🟨 Mathias Kvistgaarden
1–0 F. Frei ⚽
40′
Half-time 1–1
46′
⚽ M. Kvistgaarden 1–1
46′
🔁 P. Bjur
↦ C. Cappis
Marwin Hitz 🟨
47′
2–1 A. Zeqiri ⚽
50′
52′
🔁 M. Divković
↦ S. Hedlund
Wouter Burger 🟨
63′
64′
🟨 Sigurd Rosted
A. Diouf 🔁
↦ W. Burger
73′
74′
🔁 Y. Salech
↦ M. Kvistgaarden
74′
🔁 M. Greve
↦ A. Slimane
Andy Pelmard 🟨
80′
88′
🟨 Yousef Salech
Sergio López 🔁
↦ M. Lang
90′
N. Katterbach 🔁
↦ F. Frei
90′
90′
🔁 F. Alves
↦ S. Sebulonsen
N. Djiga 🔁
↦ Arnau Comas
103′
Andi Zeqiri 🟨
107′
Á. Szalai 🔁
↦ A. Zeqiri
108′
112′
🟨 Mathias Greve
D. Males 🔁
↦ Z. Amdouni
114′
119′
🟨 Joe Bell
3–1 A. Diouf ⚽
121′
122′
❌ J. Radošević
penalty missed
4–1 D. Ndoye ⚽
123′
124′
❌ Y. Salech
penalty missed
Á. Szalai ❌
penalty missed
125′
126′
⚽ M. Greve 4–2
5–2 D. Males ⚽
127′
128′
❌ P. Bjur
penalty missed
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 M. Hitz G
5 M. Lang D
4 Arnau Comas D
15 K. Nuhu D
21 A. Pelmard D
20 F. Frei M
23 W. Burger M
27 D. Ndoye M
9 Z. Amdouni M
7 L. Millar M
17 A. Zeqiri F
Bench (12)
8 A. Diouf
22 Sergio López
3 N. Katterbach
6 N. Djiga
11 Á. Szalai
19 D. Males
40 L. Chipperfield
96 Joelson Fernandes
13 M. Salvi
42 S. Ltaief
24 T. Tushi
16 N. de Mol

Coach: A. Frei

Brondby

4-4-2
1 M. Hermansen G
2 S. Sebulonsen D
4 S. Rosted D
18 K. Tshiembe D
15 B. Riveros D
6 J. Bell M
25 A. Slimane M
22 J. Radošević M
23 C. Cappis M
36 M. Kvistgaarden F
27 S. Hedlund F
Bench (12)
3 H. Heggheim
29 P. Bjur
24 M. Divković
8 M. Greve
38 Y. Salech
32 F. Alves
41 O. Schwartau
19 B. Kvist
37 C. Friedrich
39 M. Larsen
16 T. Mikkelsen
35 V. Kwasniak

Coach: N. Frederiksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Dingert · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.