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Conference League
Referee: N Verboomen
FK Tobol Kostanay
U T S S T
1–1
Full-time
Zrinjski
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Tobol Kostanay Zrinjski
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 20%
20%
20%
Both score Ø 20%
20%
20%
Average goals
2,0
1,6
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,4
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,3
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
0,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
12 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
5 Offside 5
14 Free kicks against 19
7 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Aug -22 Zrinjski – FK Tobol Kostanay 1–0

Match report

FK Tobol Kostanay Zrinjski
Zoran Tošić 🟨
7′
34′
⚽ M. Ćuže 0–1
36′
🟨 Igor Savić
Aleksandr Marochkin 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–1
S. Muzhikov 🔁
↦ S. Zharynbetov
46′
Serges Deblé 🟨
49′
50′
🟨 Ivan Jukić
1–1 S. Deblé ⚽
53′
57′
🟨 Mario Ćuže
Sergey Maliy 🟨
58′
C. Osuchukwu 🔁
↦ A. Tagybergen
62′
I. Sergeev 🔁
↦ M. Vukadinović
62′
64′
🔁 M. Malekinušić
↦ I. Jukić
64′
🔁 M. Senić
↦ F. Maglica
64′
🔁 D. Stranput
↦ M. Ćuže
66′
🟨 Matija Malekinušić
71′
🔁 K. Kamenar
↦ S. Ilinkovic
Aleksandr Mokin 🟥
80′
A. Zhaksylykov 🔁
↦ S. Deblé
82′
T. Akmurzin 🔁
↦ A. Marochkin
82′
Aleksa Amanović 🟨
90′
Dušan Jovančić 🟨
90′
91′
🔁 P. Sučić
↦ M. Tičinović
92′
🟨 Niko Janković
96′
🟨 Josip Čondrić
Bagdat Kairov 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

FK Tobol Kostanay

4-3-3
35 A. Mokin G
24 B. Kairov D
22 A. Marochkin D
25 S. Maliy D
45 A. Amanović D
14 S. Zharynbetov M
29 D. Jovančić M
8 A. Tagybergen M
11 Z. Tošić M
89 S. Deblé F
21 M. Vukadinović F
Bench (10)
10 S. Muzhikov
93 C. Osuchukwu
77 I. Sergeev
44 A. Zhaksylykov
88 T. Akmurzin
17 V. Vasiljev
5 D. Semchenkov
47 V. Kulpeisov
20 Z. Zhumashev
3 R. Asrankulov

Coach: M. Milanović

Zrinjski

5-4-1
22 J. Čondrić G
23 F. Maglica D
21 I. Savić M
4 H. Barišić D
70 M. Magdić D
91 M. Tičinović D
25 M. Ćuže F
40 S. Ilinkovic M
44 N. Janković M
7 I. Jukić M
99 N. Bilbija F
Bench (9)
17 M. Malekinušić
95 M. Senić
42 D. Stranput
88 K. Kamenar
30 P. Sučić
12 A. Soldo
8 D. Zlomislić
77 D. Juranović
15 F. Sabljić

Coach: S. Jakirović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Verboomen · 117 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.