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Conference League
Referee: A Kurgkheli
Basel
U U U S U
2–0
Full-time
Crusaders FC
T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Crusaders FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
17%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
1,5
3,5
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%
20 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Basel Crusaders FC
22′
🟨 Paul Heatley
Taulant Xhaka 🟨
32′
32′
🟨 Daniel Larmour
Taulant Xhaka 🟨
33′
Taulant Xhaka 🟥
33′
1–0 D. Ndoye ⚽
38′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Á. Szalai ⚽
48′
Z. Amdouni 🔁
↦ D. Ndoye
67′
L. Millar 🔁
↦ Á. Szalai
67′
D. Males 🔁
↦ Arnau Comas
76′
76′
🔁 R. Weir
↦ J. Winchester
76′
🔁 J. McMurray
↦ R. Clarke
T. Tushi 🔁
↦ S. Ltaief
81′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Basel

4-3-3
1 M. Hitz G
22 Sergio López D
4 Arnau Comas D
21 A. Pelmard D
72 A. Padula D
20 F. Frei M
34 T. Xhaka M
23 W. Burger M
27 D. Ndoye F
11 Á. Szalai F
42 S. Ltaief F
Bench (10)
9 Z. Amdouni
7 L. Millar
19 D. Males
24 T. Tushi
13 M. Salvi
16 N. de Mol
40 L. Chipperfield
5 M. Lang
6 N. Djiga
17 A. Hunziker

Coach: A. Frei

Crusaders FC

4-4-1-1
33 J. Tuffey G
2 B. Burns D
3 C. Hegarty D
20 D. Larmour D
15 J. O'Rourke D
25 R. Clarke M
7 P. Lowry M
14 J. Forsythe M
22 P. Heatley M
19 J. Winchester F
8 B. Kennedy F
Bench (11)
6 R. Weir
27 J. McMurray
9 A. Lecky
23 R. McKeown
10 D. Ebbe
43 L. Barr
17 L. Patterson
36 M. Pauley
45 S. Morrow
18 J. Owens
24 J. Robinson

Coach: S. Baxter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.