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Europa League
Referee: I Kružliak
Sociedad
T S S T T
1–1
Full-time
Man United
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Man United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 10/8 matches
Win Ø 62%
60%
63%
Points per game
1,9
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
70%
50%
Both score Ø 73%
70%
75%
Average goals
3,2
3,1
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,46 xG 1,16
55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Nov -22 Sociedad – Man United 0–1 8. Sep -22 Man United – Sociedad 0–1

Match report

Sociedad Man United
Half-time 0–0
Igor Zubeldia 🟨
49′
56′
🟨 Bruno Fernandes
57′
⚽ J. Zirkzee 0–1
A. Garnacho
J. Aramburu 🔁
↦ Aritz Elustondo
63′
Pablo Marín 🔁
↦ Beñat Turrientes
63′
O. Óskarsson 🔁
↦ Barrenetxea
63′
Nayef Aguerd ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
68′
1–1 Mikel Oyarzabal ⚽
70′
78′
🔁 C. Eriksen
↦ A. Garnacho
S. Becker 🔁
↦ T. Kubo
81′
Jon Olasagasti 🔁
↦ L. Sučić
88′
88′
🔁 T. Collyer
↦ J. Zirkzee
88′
🔁 V. Lindelöf
↦ L. Yoro
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 Álex Remiro G
6 Aritz Elustondo D
5 Zubeldia D
21 N. Aguerd D
3 Aihen Muñoz D
23 Brais Méndez M
22 Beñat Turrientes M
24 L. Sučić M
14 T. Kubo F
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F
7 Barrenetxea F
Bench (12)
19 J. Aramburu
28 Pablo Marín
9 O. Óskarsson
11 S. Becker
16 Jon Olasagasti
18 H. Traoré
31 Jon Martín
40 Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
17 Sergio Gómez
37 Luken Beitia
13 Unai Marrero
12 Javi López

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Man United

3-4-3
24 A. Onana G
15 L. Yoro D
4 M. de Ligt D
3 N. Mazraoui D
20 Diogo Dalot M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
18 Casemiro M
13 P. Dorgu M
17 A. Garnacho F
9 R. Højlund F
11 J. Zirkzee F
Bench (7)
14 C. Eriksen
43 T. Collyer
2 V. Lindelöf
41 H. Amass
26 A. Heaven
50 E. Harrison
45 D. Mee

Coach: Ruben Amorim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kružliak · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.