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Conference League
Referee: H Feșnic
Molde
U U S T S
3–2
Full-time
Legia
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Legia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 8/12 matches
Win Ø 57%
38%
75%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
63%
67%
Both score Ø 36%
38%
33%
Average goals
2,9
3,3
Scored
1,4
2,6
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

1,82 xG 2,49
56% Possession 44%
12 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 10
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Feb -24 Legia – Molde 0–3 15. Feb -24 Molde – Legia 3–2

Match report

Molde Legia
1–0 E. Hestad ⚽
11′
Halldor Stenevik 🟨
14′
2–0 K. Eriksen ⚽
17′
3–0 F. Gulbrandsen ⚽
E. Breivik
43′
Half-time 3–0
50′
🟨 Jan Ziółkowski
61′
🔁 R. Augustyniak
↦ M. Oyedele
61′
🔁 R. Pankov
↦ J. Ziółkowski
64′
⚽ K. Chodyna 3–1
Claude Gonçalves
66′
🔁 Luquinhas
↦ V. Bichakhchyan
67′
⚽ Luquinhas 3–2
P. Wszołek
F. Ihler 🔁
↦ E. Hestad
72′
75′
🔁 J. Elitim
↦ B. Kapustka
75′
🔁 T. Pekhart
↦ Claude Gonçalves
M. Bjørnbak 🔁
↦ F. Gulbrandsen
83′
89′
🟨 Luquinhas
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Molde

4-2-3-1
1 J. Karlstrøm G
21 M. Linnes D
19 E. Haugan D
4 V. Lund D
18 H. Stenevik D
10 M. Enggård M
16 E. Breivik M
5 E. Hestad M
17 M. Møller Dæhli M
20 K. Eriksen M
8 F. Gulbrandsen F
Bench (11)
9 F. Ihler
2 M. Bjørnbak
29 G. Nyheim
27 D. Daga
46 M. Mork
42 M. Fjørtoft Løvik
58 D. Nakken
34 S. McDermott
30 L. Juberg-Hovland
22 A. Posiadała
31 A. Myklebust

Coach: P. Høgmo

Legia

4-2-3-1
77 V. Kovačević G
13 P. Wszołek D
24 J. Ziółkowski D
3 S. Kapuadi D
19 Rúben Vinagre D
67 B. Kapustka M
6 M. Oyedele M
11 K. Chodyna M
5 Claude Gonçalves M
21 V. Bichakhchyan M
28 Marc Gual F
Bench (12)
8 R. Augustyniak
12 R. Pankov
82 Luquinhas
22 J. Elitim
7 T. Pekhart
55 A. Jędrzejczyk
1 K. Tobiasz
71 M. Szczepaniak
42 Sergio Barcia
51 P. Mozie
23 P. Kun
52 O. Olewinski

Coach: Gonçalo Feio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Feșnic · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.