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Europa League
Referee: Alejandro Hernández
Galatasaray
S S S S S
3–2
Full-time
Sparta Praha
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Sparta Praha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,7
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,07 xG 1,90
55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
5 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 1

Match report

Galatasaray Sparta Praha
1–0 K. Demirbay ⚽
M. Icardi
19′
41′
🟨 Qazim Laci
Half-time 1–0
Barış Alper Yılmaz 🟨
47′
47′
⚽ Á. Preciado 1–1
49′
🟨 Matěj Ryneš
A. Bardakcı 🔁
↦ K. Ayhan
55′
2–1 D. Mertens ⚽
M. Icardi
60′
Victor Nelsson 🟥
62′
65′
🔁 L. Haraslín
↦ A. Karabec
65′
⚽ J. Kuchta 2–2
Á. Preciado
74′
🔁 M. Solbakken
↦ Q. Laçi
74′
🔁 T. Wiesner
↦ Á. Preciado
79′
🟨 Veljko Birmančević
80′
🟨 Matěj Ryneš
80′
🟥 Matěj Ryneš
Kerem Aktürkoğlu 🟨
82′
82′
🟨 Ladislav Krejčí
W. Zaha 🔁
↦ K. Demirbay
83′
Tetê 🔁
↦ K. Aktürkoğlu
84′
84′
🔁 L. Sadílek
↦ V. Birmančević
84′
🔁 V. Olatunji
↦ J. Kuchta
T. Ndombélé 🔁
↦ L. Torreira
90′
Carlos Vinícius 🔁
↦ D. Mertens
91′
3–2 M. Icardi ⚽
B. Yılmaz
91′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 F. Muslera G
23 K. Ayhan D
25 V. Nelsson D
6 D. Sánchez D
18 B. Kutlu D
8 K. Demirbay M
34 L. Torreira M
53 B. Yılmaz M
10 D. Mertens M
7 K. Aktürkoğlu M
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (12)
42 A. Bardakcı
14 W. Zaha
20 Tetê
95 Carlos Vinícius
91 T. Ndombélé
19 G. Güvenç
83 E. Akman
81 H. Akman
27 Sérgio Oliveira
72 A. Bülbül
56 B. Demiroğlu
58 A. Yeşilyurt

Coach: O. Buruk

Sparta Praha

3-4-3
1 P. Vindahl G
41 M. Vitík D
25 A. Sørensen D
37 L. Krejčí D
2 Á. Preciado M
6 K. Kairinen M
20 Q. Laçi M
32 M. Ryneš M
10 A. Karabec F
9 J. Kuchta F
14 V. Birmančević F
Bench (12)
22 L. Haraslín
4 M. Solbakken
28 T. Wiesner
18 L. Sadílek
7 V. Olatunji
49 A. Ševínský
26 P. Vydra
24 V. Vorel
19 J. Mejdr
21 J. Pešek
11 I. Tuci
27 F. Panák

Coach: B. Priske

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Alejandro Hernández · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.