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Europa League
Referee: Artur Soares Dias
Sevilla
T S U U S
3–0
Full-time
Man United
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Man United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 5/11 matches
Win Ø 57%
40%
73%
Points per game
1,4
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
40%
55%
Both score Ø 33%
20%
45%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,9
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,00 xG 0,98
38% Possession 62%
20 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 3
10 Blocked shots 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Apr -23 Man United – Sevilla 2–2

Match report

Sevilla Man United
1–0 Y. En-Nesyri ⚽
E. Lamela
8′
Suso 🔁
↦ Marcão
29′
Lucas Ocampos ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
42′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Rashford
↦ J. Sancho
46′
🔁 L. Shaw
↦ A. Wan-Bissaka
2–0 L. Badé ⚽
I. Rakitić
47′
54′
🔁 W. Weghorst
↦ A. Martial
56′
🟨 Casemiro
59′
🟨 Antony
68′
🔁 Fred
↦ M. Sabitzer
Bono 🟨
73′
Bryan Gil 🔁
↦ E. Lamela
80′
3–0 Y. En-Nesyri ⚽
81′
Alex Telles 🔁
↦ M. Acuña
85′
86′
🔁 A. Elanga
↦ C. Eriksen
93′
🟨 Luke Shaw
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Sevilla

4-2-3-1
13 Y. Bounou G
16 Jesús Navas D
44 L. Badé D
23 Marcão D
19 M. Acuña D
20 Fernando M
6 N. Gudelj M
55 L. Ocampos M
10 I. Rakitić M
17 E. Lamela M
15 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (10)
7 Suso
25 Bryan Gil
3 Alex Telles
1 M. Dmitrović
21 Óliver Torres
12 Rafa Mir
31 Alberto Flores
4 K. Rekik
14 T. Nianzou
24 P. Gómez

Coach: Mendilibar

Man United

4-2-3-1
1 David de Gea G
29 A. Wan-Bissaka D
5 H. Maguire D
2 V. Lindelöf D
20 Diogo Dalot D
18 Casemiro M
14 C. Eriksen M
21 Antony M
15 M. Sabitzer M
25 J. Sancho M
9 A. Martial F
Bench (10)
10 M. Rashford
23 L. Shaw
27 W. Weghorst
17 Fred
36 A. Elanga
12 T. Malacia
28 F. Pellistri
31 J. Butland
50 R. Vítek
55 Zidane Iqbal

Coach: E. ten Hag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Artur Soares Dias · 181 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.