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Champions League
Referee: H U Meler
Leverkusen
T U U S U
1–1
Full-time
Arsenal
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Arsenal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,5
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 10/8 matches
Win Ø 70%
40%
100%
Points per game
1,6
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
40%
75%
Both score Ø 39%
40%
38%
Average goals
2,9
3,4
Scored
1,5
2,9
Conceded
1,4
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+2,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,85 xG 1,64
45% Possession 55%
10 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H U Meler · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.