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Champions League
Referee: I Kovács
Inter
S S U S S
1–0
Full-time
Arsenal
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Arsenal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,7
1,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,19 xG 1,80
37% Possession 63%
7 Shots 20
1 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 10
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 13
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 21
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Inter Arsenal
Lautaro Martínez 🟨
15′
15′
🟨 Gabriel Magalhães
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Gabriel Jesus
↦ Mikel Merino
1–0 H. Çalhanoğlu ⚽
48′
M. Thuram 🔁
↦ L. Martínez
62′
N. Barella 🔁
↦ D. Frattesi
62′
H. Mkhitaryan 🔁
↦ P. Zieliński
62′
Nicolò Barella 🟨
68′
68′
🟨 Gabriel Jesus
K. Asllani 🔁
↦ H. Çalhanoğlu
71′
F. Dimarco 🔁
↦ M. Taremi
79′
82′
🔁 O. Zinchenko
↦ J. Timber
82′
🔁 E. Nwaneri
↦ L. Trossard
93′
🔁 M. Ødegaard
↦ K. Havertz
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-2
1 Y. Sommer G
28 B. Pavard D
6 S. de Vrij D
31 Y. Bisseck D
2 D. Dumfries M
16 D. Frattesi M
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
7 P. Zieliński M
36 M. Darmian M
99 M. Taremi F
10 L. Martínez F
Bench (11)
9 M. Thuram
23 N. Barella
22 H. Mkhitaryan
21 K. Asllani
32 F. Dimarco
95 A. Bastoni
15 F. Acerbi
12 R. Di Gennaro
13 Josep Martínez
8 M. Arnautović
17 T. Buchanan

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Arsenal

4-4-2
22 David Raya G
4 B. White D
2 W. Saliba D
6 Gabriel Magalhães D
12 J. Timber D
7 B. Saka M
5 T. Partey M
23 Mikel Merino M
11 Gabriel Martinelli M
19 L. Trossard F
29 K. Havertz F
Bench (12)
9 Gabriel Jesus
17 O. Zinchenko
53 E. Nwaneri
8 M. Ødegaard
49 M. Lewis-Skelly
36 T. Setford
32 Neto
37 N. Butler-Oyedeji
15 J. Kiwior
20 Jorginho
30 R. Sterling
61 J. Robinson

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kovács · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.