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Champions League
Referee: G Nyberg
Sevilla
S T U U U
1–2
Full-time
Arsenal
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Arsenal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,78 xG 2,04
56% Possession 44%
11 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.