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Championship
Referee: S Hooper
Norwich
T T S T U
1–2
Full-time
Middlesbrough
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Middlesbrough
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
0,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
2,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 44%
45%
42%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
64%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
64%
50%
Average goals
3,6
2,8
Scored
1,9
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,50 xG 1,17
52% Possession 48%
13 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Norwich 10. · Middlesbrough 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leicester 12 11 0 1 +19 +11.7 33
2 Ipswich 11 9 1 1 +12 +7.5 28
3 Preston 12 6 3 3 -2 -3.2 21
4 Southampton 12 6 2 4 -3 +2.2 20
5 Sunderland 12 6 1 5 +7 +4.5 19
6 Leeds 11 5 4 2 +6 +7.6 19
7 Birmingham 12 5 3 4 +3 +2.7 18
8 Bristol City 12 5 3 4 +2 -0.1 18
9 West Brom 12 4 5 3 +4 -1.6 17
10 Norwich 11 5 2 4 +2 -0.4 17
11 Hull 12 4 5 3 +1 -1.0 17
12 Cardiff 12 5 2 5 +1 -0.2 17
13 Middlesbrough 12 5 2 5 +0 +7.9 17
14 Millwall 12 4 4 4 -2 -5.0 16
15 Blackburn 12 5 1 6 -3 +0.4 16
16 Coventry 12 3 6 3 +3 +4.5 15
17 Swansea 12 4 3 5 +2 -0.2 15
18 Huddersfield 12 3 5 4 -6 -4.6 14
19 Watford 12 3 4 5 -1 +1.3 13
20 Stoke 12 4 1 7 -5 -1.0 13
21 Plymouth 12 3 3 6 -1 -4.5 12
22 QPR 12 2 2 8 -13 -7.9 8
23 Rotherham 11 1 3 7 -12 -13.1 6
24 Sheffield Weds 12 0 3 9 -14 -7.5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Norwich Middlesbrough
Half-time 0–1
46′
S. Greenwood 0–1
J. Coburn
Borja Sainz 🔁
↦ O. Hernández
66′
Hwang Ui-Jo 🔁
↦ A. Idah
67′
Gabriel Sara 🟨
76′
C. Fassnacht 🔁
↦ M. Núñez
78′
P. Płacheta 🔁
↦ D. Giannoulis
78′
83′
🔁 A. Bangura
↦ L. Engel
83′
🔁 S. Silvera
↦ J. Coburn
89′
🟨 Hayden Hackney
89′
🔁 M. Rogers
↦ S. Greenwood
90′
🔁 D. Barlaser
↦ H. Hackney
90′
🔁 A. Dijksteel
↦ I. Jones
92′
S. Silvera 0–2
94′
🟨 Seny Dieng
Jonathan Rowe 🟨
95′
1–2 J. Rowe
Gabriel Sara
99′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Norwich

4-2-3-1
12 G. Long G
3 J. Stacey D
24 S. Duffy D
6 B. Gibson D
30 D. Giannoulis D
17 Gabriel Sara M
23 K. McLean M
27 J. Rowe M
26 M. Núñez M
25 O. Hernández M
11 A. Idah F
Bench (9)
7 Borja Sainz
31 Hwang Ui-Jo
16 C. Fassnacht
20 P. Płacheta
35 K. Fisher
51 C. Ansen
8 L. Gibbs
29 A. Forshaw
21 D. Batth

Coach: D. Wagner

Middlesbrough

4-2-3-1
1 S. Dieng G
3 R. van den Berg D
6 D. Fry D
17 P. McNair D
27 L. Engel D
16 J. Howson M
7 H. Hackney M
11 I. Jones M
25 M. Crooks M
29 S. Greenwood M
19 J. Coburn F
Bench (9)
24 A. Bangura
18 S. Silvera
10 M. Rogers
4 D. Barlaser
15 A. Dijksteel
5 M. Clarke
22 H. Coulson
14 A. Gilbert
23 T. Glover

Coach: M. Carrick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,79
U
3,59
B ✓
2,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,18
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Hooper · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.