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Champions League
Referee: M Guida
Lens
T T U S S
2–1
Full-time
Arsenal
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lens Arsenal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,5
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
4,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,64 xG 1,31
33% Possession 67%
10 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
4 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lens Arsenal
14′
Gabriel Jesus 0–1
B. Saka
1–1 A. Thomasson
E. Wahi
25′
34′
🔁 Fábio Vieira
↦ B. Saka
Half-time 2–1
2–1 E. Wahi
P. Frankowski
69′
70′
🔁 R. Nelson
↦ L. Trossard
71′
🔁 E. Smith Rowe
↦ K. Havertz
71′
🔁 B. White
↦ O. Zinchenko
A. Diouf 🔁
↦ N. Mendy
73′
A. Fulgini 🔁
↦ A. Thomasson
73′
W. Saïd 🔁
↦ E. Wahi
73′
80′
🔁 E. Nketiah
↦ M. Ødegaard
R. Aguilar 🔁
↦ D. Machado
81′
Salis Abdul Samed 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Gabriel Jesus
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lens

3-4-2-1
30 B. Samba G
24 J. Gradit D
4 K. Danso D
14 F. Medina D
29 P. Frankowski M
26 N. Mendy M
6 S. Abdul Samed M
3 D. Machado M
7 F. Sotoca F
28 A. Thomasson F
9 E. Wahi F
Bench (10)
18 A. Diouf
11 A. Fulgini
22 W. Saïd
2 R. Aguilar
16 J. Leca
25 A. Khusanov
40 Y. Pandor
20 F. Maouassa
27 M. Guilavogui
23 N. El Aynaoui

Coach: F. Haise

Arsenal

4-3-3
22 David Raya G
18 T. Tomiyasu D
2 W. Saliba D
6 Gabriel Magalhães D
35 O. Zinchenko D
8 M. Ødegaard M
41 D. Rice M
29 K. Havertz M
7 B. Saka F
9 Gabriel Jesus F
19 L. Trossard F
Bench (12)
21 Fábio Vieira
24 R. Nelson
10 E. Smith Rowe
4 B. White
14 E. Nketiah
1 A. Ramsdale
20 Jorginho
25 Mohamed Elneny
5 T. Partey
17 Cédric Soares
15 J. Kiwior
31 K. Hein

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.