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Champions League
Referee: S Jovanović
Union Berlin
T T T T T
2–3
Full-time
Sp Braga
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,5
4,2
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
0%
80%
Points per game
0,0
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
0%
80%
Both score Ø 30%
0%
60%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
2,2
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,21 xG 1,28
35% Possession 65%
13 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
9 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Oct -22 Union Berlin – Sp Braga 1–0 15. Sep -22 Sp Braga – Union Berlin 1–0

Match report

Union Berlin Sp Braga
Robin Gosens ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
5′
Leonardo Bonucci 🟨
13′
13′
🟨 Ricardo Horta
1–0 S. Becker ⚽
A. Král
30′
2–0 S. Becker ⚽
L. Tousart
37′
41′
⚽ S. Niakaté 2–1
Half-time 2–1
46′
🟨 Simon Banza
51′
⚽ Bruma 2–2
Ricardo Horta
Diogo Leite 🟨
54′
A. Laïdouni 🔁
↦ L. Tousart
63′
K. Volland 🔁
↦ K. Behrens
63′
72′
🟨 Rodrigo Zalazar
73′
🔁 João Moutinho
↦ R. Zalazar
74′
🔁 Adrián Marín
↦ C. Borja
B. Aaronson 🔁
↦ J. Haberer
81′
83′
🔁 Vitor Carvalho
↦ Ricardo Horta
84′
🔁 Abel Ruiz
↦ Álvaro Djaló
J. Roussillon 🔁
↦ R. Gosens
86′
86′
🔁 Castro
↦ J. Mendes
Josip Juranović 🟨
94′
94′
⚽ Castro 2–3
Bruma
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Union Berlin

5-3-2
1 F. Rønnow G
18 J. Juranović D
5 D. Doekhi D
23 L. Bonucci D
4 Diogo Leite D
6 R. Gosens D
29 L. Tousart M
33 A. Král M
19 J. Haberer M
27 S. Becker F
17 K. Behrens F
Bench (9)
20 A. Laïdouni
10 K. Volland
7 B. Aaronson
26 J. Roussillon
36 A. Kemlein
3 P. Jaeckel
37 A. Schwolow
28 C. Trimmel
39 Y. Stein

Coach: U. Fischer

Sp Braga

4-2-3-1
1 Matheus G
17 J. Mendes D
5 S. Saatçı D
4 S. Niakaté D
26 C. Borja D
16 R. Zalazar M
8 Al Musrati M
14 Álvaro Djaló M
21 Ricardo Horta M
7 Bruma M
23 S. Banza F
Bench (12)
28 João Moutinho
19 Adrián Marín
18 Vitor Carvalho
9 Abel Ruiz
88 Castro
6 José Fonte
22 Pizzi
12 Tiago Sá
91 L. Horníček
15 Paulo Oliveira
10 André Horta
20 Rony Lopes

Coach: Artur Jorge

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Jovanović · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.