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Champions League
Referee: Jesús Gil
Paris SG
U U S S T
2–0
Full-time
Dortmund
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Dortmund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
2,0
2,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,44 xG 0,66
68% Possession 32%
17 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 7
3 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Paris SG Dortmund
14′
🔁 F. Nmecha
↦ M. Sabitzer
Half-time 1–0
1–0 K. Mbappé ⚽
49′
2–0 A. Hakimi ⚽
Vitinha
58′
62′
🔁 N. Füllkrug
↦ D. Malen
62′
🔁 M. Reus
↦ J. Brandt
66′
🟨 Nico Schlotterbeck
67′
🟨 Emre Can
76′
🔁 J. Bynoe-Gittens
↦ E. Can
78′
🔁 R. Bensebaïni
↦ M. Wolf
Gonçalo Ramos 🔁
↦ R. Kolo Muani
80′
Lee Kang-In 🔁
↦ Vitinha
80′
Danilo Pereira 🔁
↦ L. Hernández
88′
90′
🟨 Julian Ryerson
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3
99 G. Donnarumma G
2 A. Hakimi D
5 Marquinhos D
37 M. Škriniar D
21 L. Hernández D
33 W. Zaïre-Emery M
4 M. Ugarte M
17 Vitinha M
10 O. Dembélé F
23 R. Kolo Muani F
7 K. Mbappé F
Bench (9)
9 Gonçalo Ramos
19 Lee Kang-In
15 Danilo Pereira
80 Arnau Tenas
26 N. Mukiele
28 Carlos Soler
8 Fabián Ruiz
29 B. Barcola
1 K. Navas

Coach: Luis Enrique

Dortmund

3-5-2
1 G. Kobel G
25 N. Süle D
15 M. Hummels D
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
17 M. Wolf M
19 J. Brandt M
23 E. Can M
20 M. Sabitzer M
26 J. Ryerson M
27 K. Adeyemi F
21 D. Malen F
Bench (11)
8 F. Nmecha
14 N. Füllkrug
11 M. Reus
43 J. Bynoe-Gittens
5 R. Bensebaïni
9 S. Haller
18 Y. Moukoko
6 S. Özcan
33 A. Meyer
7 G. Reyna
35 M. Lotka

Coach: E. Terzić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jesús Gil · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.