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Eliteserien
Referee: Tommy Skjerven
Aalesund
U S T T T
1–1
Full-time
Start
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Start
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
1,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,8
This season — Eliteserien · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 10%
20%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,4
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
50%
30%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,6
2,2
Scored
1,1
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
11 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalesund 14. · Start 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 10 8 1 1 +15 25
2 Molde 10 6 3 1 +7 21
3 Odd 10 6 2 2 +5 20
4 Haugesund 10 5 2 3 +5 17
5 Stromsgodset 10 5 2 3 +3 17
6 Brann 10 5 2 3 +1 17
7 Lillestrom 10 4 4 2 +5 16
8 Viking 10 5 1 4 -1 16
9 Sarpsborg 08 10 4 3 3 +2 15
10 Sogndal 10 3 3 4 -1 12
11 Valerenga 10 3 1 6 -3 10
12 Tromso 10 2 4 4 -10 10
13 Bodo/Glimt 10 2 2 6 -4 8
14 Aalesund 10 2 1 7 -4 7
15 Stabaek 10 2 1 7 -8 7
16 Start 10 0 4 6 -12 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Start
Half-time 0–0
54′
🔁 D. Aase
↦ J. Skogmo
Bjorn Helge Riise 🟨
61′
65′
C. Nwakali 0–1
K. Ajer
A. Þrándarson 🔁
↦ M. Abdellaoue
70′
E. Gyasi 🔁
↦ V. Hoff
70′
1–1 E. Skagestad
A. Þrándarson
78′
81′
🔁 E. Hoff
↦ L. Salvesen
84′
🔁 R. Sandnes
↦ E. Børufsen
S. Fet 🔁
↦ P. Larsen
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Aalesund

1 A. Lie G
6 J. Riise
5 O. Lie D
23 E. Skagestad
2 M. Kirkeskov D
21 B. Riise M
10 P. Larsen M
8 F. Carlsen M
18 V. Hoff M
30 M. Abdellaoue F
7 F. Boli F
Bench (7)
11 A. Þrándarson
14 E. Gyasi
40 S. Fet
4 T. Mäntylä
15 Marlinho
20 T. Martinussen
24 L. Cramer

Start

1 H. Opdal
3 T. Heikkilä
28 R. Vikstøl
2 J. Skogmo
4 A. De John D
15 H. Robstad D
14 E. Børufsen M
7 C. Nwakali M
32 M. Rasmussen M
6 K. Ajer D
22 L. Salvesen F
Bench (7)
9 D. Aase
8 E. Hoff
5 R. Sandnes
21 H. Breimyr
25 S. McDermott
27 E. Wichne
30 L. Sigurdsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tommy Skjerven · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.