Eliteserien
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sogndal
Lillestrom
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rosenborg
|
13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | +18 | 32 |
| 2 |
Odd
|
12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 24 |
| 3 |
Molde
|
13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |
Stromsgodset
|
12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +8 | 23 |
| 5 |
Haugesund
|
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 21 |
| 6 |
Viking
|
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +0 | 20 |
| 7 |
Brann
|
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +0 | 20 |
| 8 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 |
Lillestrom
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 16 |
| 10 |
Sogndal
|
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |
Tromso
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -9 | 13 |
| 12 |
Aalesund
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 |
Valerenga
|
12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 |
Stabaek
|
12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -12 | 7 |
| 16 |
Start
|
12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -12 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Dyngeland
G
B. Utvik
D
M. Ofkir
M
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sogndal
Start
Viking
Sogndal
Sogndal
Tromso
Aalesund
Sogndal
Sogndal
Rosenborg
Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.