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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Sogndal
U S U U U
2–2
Full-time
Lillestrom
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sogndal Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 29%
25%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
25%
58%
Both score Ø 54%
33%
75%
Average goals
1,8
3,1
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

42% Possession 58%
15 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 4
4 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 12
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sogndal 10. · Lillestrom 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 13 10 2 1 +18 32
2 Odd 12 7 3 2 +7 24
3 Molde 13 7 3 3 +5 24
4 Stromsgodset 12 7 2 3 +8 23
5 Haugesund 12 6 3 3 +6 21
6 Viking 12 6 2 4 +0 20
7 Brann 12 6 2 4 +0 20
8 Sarpsborg 08 13 5 4 4 -1 19
9 Lillestrom 12 4 4 4 +3 16
10 Sogndal 12 3 5 4 -1 14
11 Tromso 13 3 4 6 -9 13
12 Aalesund 12 3 2 7 -3 11
13 Bodo/Glimt 12 3 2 7 -4 11
14 Valerenga 12 3 1 8 -5 10
15 Stabaek 12 2 1 9 -12 7
16 Start 12 0 6 6 -12 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sogndal Lillestrom
29′
M. Martin 0–1
H. Skogseid
39′
Bassel Jradi 0–2
M. Ofkir
Half-time 0–2
H. Patronen 🔁
↦ B. Utvik
46′
K. Opseth 🔁
↦ L. Kjemhus
46′
1–2 B. Sarr
G. Koomson
49′
2–2 K. Opseth
M. Ramsland
53′
79′
🔁 J. Kolstad
↦ B. Innocent
82′
🔁 A. Vilhjálmsson
↦ M. Ofkir
M. Pedersen 🔁
↦ R. Bolseth
83′
85′
🔁 F. Kippe
↦ O. Rindarøy
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sogndal

1 M. Dyngeland G
15 J. Raitala D
2 T. Teniste D
17 C. Psyché D
3 B. Utvik D
7 R. Bolseth M
16 B. Sarr D
27 E. Birkelund M
22 L. Kjemhus M
10 G. Koomson F
11 M. Ramsland F
Bench (7)
4 H. Patronen
20 K. Opseth
26 M. Pedersen
8 F. Flo
18 M. Otoo
21 K. Rutlin
34 S. Brekkhus

Lillestrom

12 J. Faye Lund
16 H. Skogseid D
22 M. Jakobsen D
4 M. Amundsen D
5 O. Rindarøy M
8 M. Martin M
10 M. Lundemo M
7 Bassel Jradi M
18 B. Innocent M
11 E. Knudtzon F
20 M. Ofkir M
Bench (6)
17 J. Kolstad
9 A. Vilhjálmsson
13 F. Kippe
15 E. Brenden
26 S. Sinyan
29 E. Ødegaard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.