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Pro League
Referee: N Verboomen
Standard
U S S T S
1–2
Full-time
Antwerp
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Antwerp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 35%
35%
35%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
48%
43%
Both score Ø 46%
43%
48%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,08 xG 1,70
47% Possession 53%
15 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Standard 11. · Antwerp 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 23 16 7 0 +29 +22.7 55
2 Club Brugge 23 18 1 4 +22 +10.6 55
3 St Truiden 23 13 3 7 +10 +15.2 42
4 Mechelen 23 10 8 5 +9 -6.5 38
5 Gent 22 11 4 7 +6 +3.2 37
6 Genk 22 10 6 6 +6 +7.3 36
7 Cercle Brugge 27 9 7 11 +1 +2.5 34
8 Anderlecht 23 9 6 8 +4 +2.6 33
9 Waregem 27 9 4 14 -7 -5.9 31
10 Antwerp 23 8 5 10 +2 -2.4 29
11 Standard 23 8 5 10 -11 -10.8 29
12 Westerlo 23 7 7 9 -5 +0.7 28
13 Charleroi 23 6 4 13 -8 -2.8 22
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 23 5 7 11 -13 -7.7 22
15 RAAL La Louviere 27 4 10 13 -15 -9.7 22
16 Dender 27 3 6 18 -30 -19.1 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Standard Antwerp
Half-time 0–1
47′
C. Scott 0–1
A. Valencia
R. Said 🔁
↦ B. Nguene
62′
66′
C. Scott 0–2
A. Valencia
R. Mitongo 🔁
↦ T. Nkada
67′
T. Mohr 🔁
↦ D. Dierckx
67′
68′
🔁 T. Somers
↦ A. Valencia
68′
🔁 Y. Hamdaoui
↦ V. Janssen
71′
🟨 Gyrano Kerk
Tobias Mohr ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
75′
1–2 C. Nielsen
78′
Henry Lawrence 🟨
80′
80′
🟨 Farouck Adekami
85′
🔁 R. Van Helden
↦ F. Adekami
S. Assengue 🔁
↦ H. Lawrence
87′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Standard

3-4-2-1
1 M. Epolo G
29 D. Dierckx D
25 I. Hautekiet D
24 J. Homawoo D
18 H. Lawrence M
94 C. Nielsen M
20 I. Karamoko M
3 G. Mortensen M
26 B. Nguene F
11 A. Abid F
59 T. Nkada F
Bench (9)
21 L. Pirard
4 D. Bates
8 N. Mehssatou Sepulveda
19 R. Mitongo
7 T. Mohr
17 R. Said
39 N. Sy
53 S. Assengue
33 C. Spoden

Coach: Vincent Euvrard

Antwerp

3-4-1-2
41 T. Nozawa G
33 Z. Van Den Bosch D
4 Y. Tsunashima D
5 D. Foulon D
14 A. Valencia M
8 D. Praet M
78 X. Dierckx M
22 F. Adekami M
30 C. Scott F
18 V. Janssen F
7 G. Kerk F
Bench (9)
15 Y. Thoelen
25 K. Kouyate
20 R. Van Helden
9 M. Al Sahafi
23 G. Bijl
24 T. Somers
56 E. Tuypens
17 S. Renders
43 Y. Hamdaoui

Coach: Faris Haroun

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,57
U
3,18
B ✓
2,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,11
U2,5
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Verboomen · 117 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.