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Pro League

Referee: L D'hondt

St. Gilloise

U S S T S

4–1

Full-time

Eupen

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Eupen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,0

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 6/9 matches

Win Ø 53%

83%

22%

Points per game

2,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 81%

83%

78%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,4

Scored

2,7

1,1

Conceded

1,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,31 xG 0,93

56% Possession 44%

21 Shots 6

11 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 1

2 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match St. Gilloise 2. · Eupen 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	6	5	1	0	+7	+2.1	16
2	St. Gilloise	6	5	0	1	+8	+5.6	15
3	Cercle Brugge	7	5	0	2	+5	+5.7	15
4	Club Brugge	8	4	2	2	+12	+11.5	14
5	Antwerp	7	3	4	0	+12	+8.8	13
6	Gent	6	3	3	0	+3	+2.2	12
7	RWD Molenbeek	9	3	3	3	-8	-7.1	12
8	Standard	7	2	3	2	+1	-5.8	9
9	Mechelen	6	2	2	2	+2	-3.0	8
10	Genk	6	1	4	1	+3	+7.5	7
11	Eupen	9	2	1	6	-11	-13.1	7
12	St Truiden	7	1	3	3	-6	-5.5	6
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	1	2	4	-5	+1.8	5
14	Westerlo	7	1	2	4	-5	-4.8	5
15	Kortrijk	8	1	2	5	-11	-0.1	5
16	Charleroi	8	0	4	4	-7	-5.8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gent	4	3	1	0	+3	+0.5	10
2	Cercle Brugge	3	3	0	0	+4	+2.8	9
3	Anderlecht	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.7	9
4	Antwerp	4	2	2	0	+9	+7.0	8
5	Club Brugge	4	2	2	0	+8	+6.5	8
6	Mechelen	3	2	1	0	+5	-0.1	7
7	RWD Molenbeek	5	2	1	2	-3	-4.0	7
8	St. Gilloise	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.1	6
9	Kortrijk	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.2	5
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.0	4
11	Standard	4	1	1	2	-1	-4.2	4
12	Eupen	5	1	1	3	-7	-5.7	4
13	Charleroi	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.6	3
14	Genk	4	0	3	1	-1	+4.5	3
15	Westerlo	3	1	0	2	-3	-3.0	3
16	St Truiden	3	0	0	3	-7	-3.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	4	3	0	1	+2	+3.5	9
2	Anderlecht	3	2	1	0	+3	+0.4	7
3	Club Brugge	4	2	0	2	+4	+5.0	6
4	St Truiden	4	1	3	0	+1	-1.7	6
5	Cercle Brugge	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.9	6
6	Antwerp	3	1	2	0	+3	+1.8	5
7	Standard	3	1	2	0	+2	-1.6	5
8	RWD Molenbeek	4	1	2	1	-5	-3.2	5
9	Genk	2	1	1	0	+4	+3.0	4
10	Eupen	4	1	0	3	-4	-7.3	3
11	Gent	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.6	2
12	Westerlo	4	0	2	2	-2	-1.8	2
13	Mechelen	3	0	1	2	-3	-2.9	1
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	0	1	3	-7	+1.8	1
15	Charleroi	5	0	1	4	-7	-6.4	1
16	Kortrijk	4	0	0	4	-11	-1.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.