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Taça de Portugal

Referee: Gustavo Correia

SC Covilha

T U

1–4

Full-time

Portimonense

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SC Covilha Portimonense

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

83%

Average goals

1,5

2,8

Scored

0,0

1,3

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Felgueiras 1932	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Academica	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	CD Olivais e Moscavide	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Sintrense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	FC Serpa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Rebordosa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Alverca	2	1	1	0	+13	4
9	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	1	0	+7	4
10	Paredes	2	1	1	0	+4	4
11	Valadares Gaia	2	1	1	0	+4	4
12	Montalegre	2	1	1	0	+2	4
13	Lusitano Évora 1911	2	1	1	0	+2	4
14	Pêro Pinheiro	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+12	3
16	Lusitânia Lourosa	2	1	0	1	+9	3
17	Amora	2	1	0	1	+7	3
18	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+5	3
19	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+5	3
20	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+5	3
21	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
22	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
23	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	0	1	+4	3
24	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
25	Vilar de Perdizes	1	1	0	0	+4	3
26	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Vila Meã	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Mirandela	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Tirsense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Salgueiros	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Quarteirense SAD	2	1	0	1	+1	3
44	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Santa Maria FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	AVS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Tocha	2	1	0	1	+0	3
55	Sandinenses	2	1	0	1	+0	3
56	Louletano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
57	Alqueidão da Serra	2	1	0	1	-1	3
58	Fabril Barreiro	2	1	0	1	-1	3
59	Ribeirão	2	1	0	1	-1	3
60	Florgrade	2	1	0	1	-2	3
61	Lusitânia	2	1	0	1	-2	3
62	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
63	União Micaelense	2	1	0	1	-3	3
64	Fontinhas	2	1	0	1	-3	3
65	Pombal	2	1	0	1	-3	3
66	Peniche	2	0	2	0	+0	2
67	Atlético Arcos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Atlético Malveira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Anadia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Varzim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Oliveirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	Caldas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
75	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Atlético CP	1	0	1	0	+0	1
78	Gondomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
79	Sanjoanense	2	0	1	1	-1	1
80	Portosantense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
81	Os Limianos	2	0	1	1	-4	1
82	CF Oliveira Douro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	CD Torres Novas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Lobão	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	União de Tomar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Gouveia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Real	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Padernense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Oriental Lisboa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	São João Ver	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Penedo Gordo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Guadalupe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Lanheses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Aliados Lordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Foz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Operário	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Brito	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Flamengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Vila Real	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Os Vilanovenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
115	União de Coimbra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
116	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
117	FC Barreirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
118	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-3	0
119	Luzense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
120	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
121	Torre de Moncorvo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
122	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
123	Ponte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
124	Gafetense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
125	Proença-a-Nova	1	0	0	1	-6	0
126	Amiense	1	0	0	1	-7	0
127	Vitória do Pico	1	0	0	1	-8	0
128	Régua	1	0	0	1	-10	0
129	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-12	0
130	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-13	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Academica	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Valadares Gaia	2	1	1	0	+4	4
3	Lusitano Évora 1911	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+13	3
5	Lusitânia Lourosa	2	1	0	1	+9	3
6	Amora	1	1	0	0	+8	3
7	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+6	3
8	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Paredes	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Vilar de Perdizes	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
14	Florgrade	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Salgueiros	2	1	0	1	+1	3
19	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	União Micaelense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Louletano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
25	Alqueidão da Serra	2	1	0	1	-1	3
26	Rebordosa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
27	Lusitânia	2	1	0	1	-2	3
28	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
29	Peniche	2	0	2	0	+0	2
30	Atlético Arcos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Anadia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Os Limianos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Pêro Pinheiro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Atlético CP	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Portosantense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
38	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	União de Tomar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Real	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Padernense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Sanjoanense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Oriental Lisboa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	São João Ver	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Guadalupe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Quarteirense SAD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Tocha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Sandinenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Aliados Lordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Brito	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Flamengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Vila Real	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Os Vilanovenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Ribeirão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	FC Barreirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Luzense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Pombal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
67	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
68	Ponte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
69	Gafetense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
70	Amiense	1	0	0	1	-7	0
71	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-12	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	CD Olivais e Moscavide	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Montalegre	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+12	3
5	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	1	0	0	+7	3
6	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	0	1	+4	3
10	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Vila Meã	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Mirandela	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Sandinenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Tirsense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Tocha	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Quarteirense SAD	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Ribeirão	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Pombal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Pêro Pinheiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Santa Maria FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Fabril Barreiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	AVS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Fontinhas	2	1	0	1	-3	3
42	Atlético Malveira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Sanjoanense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Varzim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Paredes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Oliveirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Caldas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Gondomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	União Santarém	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	CF Oliveira Douro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	CD Torres Novas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Lobão	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Gouveia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Penedo Gordo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Lanheses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Foz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Operário	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	União de Coimbra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	União Micaelense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
72	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-4	0
73	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
74	Torre de Moncorvo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
75	Os Limianos	1	0	0	1	-4	0
76	Proença-a-Nova	1	0	0	1	-6	0
77	Vitória do Pico	1	0	0	1	-8	0
78	Régua	1	0	0	1	-10	0
79	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

SC Covilha Portimonense

6′

⚽ Gonçalo Costa 0–1

M. Adams 🟥

28′

Vasco Coelho 🔁

↦ João Vasco

33′

Half-time 0–2

47′

⚽ Dener 0–2

49′

⚽ Carlinhos 0–3

V. Lontsi 🔁

↦ Rodrigo Ferreira

53′

Gildo Lourenço 🔁

↦ Michel Camargos

54′

62′

🔁 Hélio Varela

↦ Gonçalo Costa

62′

🔁 Zinho

↦ S. Jasper

70′

🟨 Pedrao

71′

🔁 Maurício

↦ Carlinhos

71′

🔁 R. Carrillo

↦ Dener

79′

⚽ Rildo 0–4

Diogo Ferreira 🔁

↦ Mário Borges

80′

Paulo Campos 🔁

↦ Bruno Reis

80′

🔁 M. Seck

↦ Pedrão

1–4 Diogo Ferreira ⚽

88′

Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

SC Covilha

71 João Gonçalo

6 Tiago Moreira

13 Michel Camargos

3 Casagrande

4 M. Adams

18 Bruno Reis

88 Mário Borges

87 Rodrigo Ferreira

7 João Traquina

19 João Vasco

99 A. Benedict

Bench (9)

2 Vasco Coelho

28 V. Lontsi

20 Gildo Lourenço

15 Diogo Ferreira

90 Paulo Campos

1 Igor Araújo

9 Chico Cardoso

10 Zé Tiago

23 José Pereira

Coach: Alex Costa

Portimonense

12 Vinícius Silvestre

44 Pedrão

Gonçalo Costa

33 Igor Formiga

Filipe Relvas

Alemão

13 Dener

11 Carlinhos

25 Lucas Ventura

S. Jasper

Rildo

Bench (9)

77 Hélio Varela

99 Zinho

8 Maurício

19 R. Carrillo

14 M. Seck

1 Gabriel Souza

9 Paulinho

27 Guga

71 D. Adeniran

Coach: Paulo Sérgio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

24. Sep TP 2 years ago

2. Oct TP 3 years ago

Referee

Gustavo Correia · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

5,7 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

29,1 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

SC Covilha

Portimonense

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee