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Primeira Liga
Referee: Manuel Oliveira
Moreirense
S U T U T
2–2
Full-time
Gil Vicente
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moreirense Gil Vicente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 18%
9%
27%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
64%
45%
Both score Ø 64%
73%
55%
Average goals
2,9
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
15 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Moreirense 15. · Gil Vicente 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 11 9 2 0 +21 29
2 Sp Lisbon 11 9 2 0 +13 29
3 Benfica 11 9 1 1 +20 28
4 Estoril 11 5 5 1 +7 20
5 Sp Braga 11 5 4 2 +3 19
6 Portimonense 11 5 2 4 +1 17
7 Guimaraes 11 4 4 3 +3 16
8 Gil Vicente 11 3 4 4 +0 13
9 Tondela 11 4 0 7 -4 12
10 Pacos Ferreira 11 2 5 4 -5 11
11 Boavista 11 2 5 4 -6 11
12 Famalicao 11 2 4 5 -1 10
13 Arouca 11 2 4 5 -6 10
14 Vizela 11 1 7 3 -7 10
15 Moreirense 11 1 5 5 -8 8
16 Belenenses 11 1 5 5 -8 8
17 Maritimo 11 1 4 6 -7 7
18 Santa Clara 11 1 3 7 -16 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Moreirense Gil Vicente
9′
🟨 Zé Carlos
22′
🟨 Vítor Carvalho
Paulinho Mota 🟨
28′
Half-time 0–0
Lazar Rosić 🟨
47′
47′
🟨 Žiga Frelih
1–0 Yan
49′
Fábio Pacheco 🟨
60′
Gonçalo Franco 🔁
↦ I. Camará
64′
Derik Lacerda 🔁
↦ Yan
64′
65′
🔁 A. Léautey
↦ Murilo
68′
Samuel Lino 1–1
77′
Fran Navarro 1–2
A. Léautey
Walterson 🔁
↦ Fábio Pacheco
79′
Rafael Martins 🔁
↦ Felipe Pires
79′
87′
🔁 B. Aouacheria
↦ Samuel Lino
Pedro Amador 🔁
↦ Paulinho
88′
90′
🔁 Élder Santana
↦ Fran Navarro
91′
🔁 E. Hackman
↦ K. Fujimoto
92′
🟨 Bilel Aouacheria
95′
🟨 Lucas Cunha
2–2 S. Vitória
96′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Moreirense

4-3-3
1 Kewin G
19 S. Vitória D
77 Paulinho D
3 L. Rosić D
5 Abdu Conté D
6 Fábio Pacheco M
21 Filipe Soares M
8 I. Camará M
9 André Luís F
10 Felipe Pires F
11 Yan F
Bench (9)
88 Gonçalo Franco
27 Derik Lacerda
7 Walterson
99 Rafael Martins
18 Pedro Amador
14 Mateus Pasinato
25 N. Jambor
16 Sori Mané
66 Rúben Ramos

Coach: João Henriques

Gil Vicente

4-3-3
1 Ž. Frelih G
26 Rúben Fernandes D
31 Talocha D
3 Lucas Cunha D
2 Zé Carlos D
8 Pedrinho M
21 Vitor Carvalho M
10 K. Fujimoto M
77 Murilo F
9 Fran Navarro F
29 Samuel Lino F
Bench (9)
11 A. Léautey
7 B. Aouacheria
5 E. Hackman
93 Élder Santana
12 Brian Araújo
57 Matheus Bueno
33 Iago Maidana
25 Jean Irmer
55 Henrique Gomes

Coach: Ricardo Soares

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,45
U ✓
3,15
B
3,00
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,17
U2,5
1,68
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Oliveira · 149 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.