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Pro League
Referee: J Lardot
Beerschot VA
U U S S T
2–1
Full-time
Charleroi
T U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Beerschot VA Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,3
1,8
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 37%
43%
31%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
77%
43%
Both score Ø 69%
74%
63%
Average goals
3,7
2,6
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
12 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 9
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Beerschot VA 6. · Charleroi 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 30 21 5 4 +46 68
2 Antwerp 30 17 7 6 +17 58
3 Waregem 36 18 4 14 +0 58
4 Genk 31 15 10 6 +19 55
5 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 35 14 10 11 +3 52
6 Beerschot VA 35 15 6 14 -3 51
7 Mechelen 30 14 7 9 +5 49
8 Anderlecht 31 10 16 5 +14 46
9 Gent 30 13 6 11 +14 45
10 Oostende 30 13 6 11 +5 45
11 Charleroi 35 11 12 12 +1 45
12 Eupen 36 10 15 11 -7 45
13 St Truiden 36 11 9 16 -7 42
14 Kortrijk 35 12 6 17 -7 42
15 Cercle Brugge 36 13 2 21 -10 41
16 Standard 30 10 9 11 +0 39
17 Mouscron 32 7 10 15 -19 31
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 32 7 10 15 -19 31
19 Waasland-Beveren 32 7 7 18 -26 28
20 Beveren 32 7 7 18 -26 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Beerschot VA Charleroi
26′
🟨 Mamadou Fall
33′
🟨 Jules Van Cleemput
1–0 R. Holzhauser
34′
Half-time 1–0
Z. Bakkali 🔁
↦ A. Sanyang
46′
56′
🔁 Ł. Teodorczyk
↦ K. Rezaei
70′
S. Nicholson 1–1
J. Van Cleemput
B. Eleke 🔁
↦ M. Suzuki
77′
80′
🔁 M. Bruno
↦ A. Gholizadeh
86′
🔁 S. Berahino
↦ M. Ilaimaharitra
86′
🔁 A. Benchaib
↦ M. Fall
Jan Van den Bergh 🟨
90′
Raphael Holzhauser 🟨
90′
2–1 R. Holzhauser
94′
D. Prychynenko 🔁
↦ R. Holzhauser
95′
P. Bourdin 🔁
↦ L. Brogno
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Beerschot VA

4-2-3-1
31 M. Vanhamel G
4 F. Frans D
2 J. Van den Bergh D
55 S. Radić D
5 J. Dom D
8 R. Holzhauser M
16 T. Pietermaat M
18 R. Sanusi M
92 L. Brogno M
10 M. Suzuki F
22 A. Sanyang M
Bench (7)
11 Z. Bakkali
7 B. Eleke
3 D. Prychynenko
15 P. Bourdin
24 Y. Vorogovskiy
1 W. Biebauw
89 G. Grisez

Coach: W. Still

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
40 R. Descamps G
3 O. Vranješ D
24 D. Dessoleil D
12 J. Kayembe D
4 J. Van Cleemput D
30 G. Gillet M
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
27 M. Fall M
8 A. Gholizadeh M
10 K. Rezaei F
16 S. Nicholson M
Bench (7)
91 Ł. Teodorczyk
77 M. Bruno
38 S. Berahino
34 A. Benchaib
1 N. Penneteau
7 J. Botaka
33 C. Kipre

Coach: K. Belhocine

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,75
U
3,51
B
2,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Lardot · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.