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Championship

Referee: D Webb

Fulham

S U S T S

1–0

Full-time

Middlesbrough

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fulham Middlesbrough

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

This season — Championship · 25/27 matches

Win Ø 41%

52%

30%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

60%

37%

Both score Ø 50%

56%

44%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,6

1,0

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%

17 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 0

5 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 8

1 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fulham 3. · Middlesbrough 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	27	14	11	2	+20	53
2	Leeds	27	15	7	5	+20	52
3	Fulham	25	13	5	7	+12	44
4	Nott'm Forest	26	12	8	6	+9	44
5	Sheffield Weds	27	12	6	9	+13	42
6	Swansea	25	11	9	5	+7	42
7	Millwall	27	10	11	6	+2	41
8	Bristol City	27	11	8	8	+1	41
9	Preston	27	11	7	9	+4	40
10	Hull	27	11	6	10	+5	39
11	Brentford	24	11	4	9	+17	37
12	Blackburn	27	10	7	10	+0	37
13	Cardiff	26	9	10	7	-2	37
14	Reading	26	10	6	10	+5	36
15	QPR	27	10	5	12	-6	35
16	Middlesbrough	27	8	10	9	-6	34
17	Derby	27	8	10	9	-8	34
18	Birmingham	27	9	5	13	-11	32
19	Charlton	27	7	8	12	-3	29
20	Huddersfield	27	7	7	13	-13	28
21	Stoke	27	7	4	16	-9	25
22	Barnsley	27	5	9	13	-15	24
23	Wigan	27	5	8	14	-17	23
24	Luton	27	6	3	18	-25	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Preston	14	9	2	3	+12	29
2	Fulham	14	8	2	4	+9	26
3	Derby	14	7	5	2	+7	26
4	Leeds	13	7	4	2	+9	25
5	Cardiff	12	7	4	1	+9	25
6	Millwall	13	7	4	2	+7	25
7	West Brom	13	6	6	1	+11	24
8	Blackburn	14	6	6	2	+5	24
9	Middlesbrough	14	6	5	3	+1	23
10	Sheffield Weds	13	6	4	3	+4	22
11	Brentford	11	6	3	2	+13	21
12	Swansea	13	6	3	4	+5	21
13	Hull	14	6	2	6	+4	20
14	Nott'm Forest	12	6	2	4	+1	20
15	Charlton	14	5	4	5	+2	19
16	Reading	13	6	1	6	+2	19
17	QPR	14	5	4	5	+1	19
18	Bristol City	13	5	4	4	+1	19
19	Barnsley	14	4	6	4	-2	18
20	Birmingham	13	5	2	6	-1	17
21	Huddersfield	14	4	4	6	-5	16
22	Wigan	13	4	4	5	-5	16
23	Luton	13	4	3	6	-2	15
24	Stoke	14	4	3	7	-3	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	14	8	5	1	+9	29
2	Leeds	14	8	3	3	+11	27
3	Nott'm Forest	14	6	6	2	+8	24
4	Bristol City	14	6	4	4	+0	22
5	Swansea	12	5	6	1	+2	21
6	Sheffield Weds	14	6	2	6	+9	20
7	Hull	13	5	4	4	+1	19
8	Fulham	11	5	3	3	+3	18
9	Reading	13	4	5	4	+3	17
10	Brentford	13	5	1	7	+4	16
11	Millwall	14	3	7	4	-5	16
12	QPR	13	5	1	7	-7	16
13	Birmingham	14	4	3	7	-10	15
14	Blackburn	13	4	1	8	-5	13
15	Huddersfield	13	3	3	7	-8	12
16	Cardiff	14	2	6	6	-11	12
17	Middlesbrough	13	2	5	6	-7	11
18	Preston	13	2	5	6	-8	11
19	Charlton	13	2	4	7	-5	10
20	Stoke	13	3	1	9	-6	10
21	Derby	13	1	5	7	-15	8
22	Wigan	14	1	4	9	-12	7
23	Barnsley	13	1	3	9	-13	6
24	Luton	14	2	0	12	-23	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.