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Premier League
Referee: Jonathan Moss
Wolves
S S S T U
1–1
Full-time
Man United
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolves Man United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,0
4,0
Scored
0,0
4,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

34% Possession 66%
6 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolves 13. · Man United 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Arsenal 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Man City 2 1 1 0 +5 4
4 Brighton 2 1 1 0 +3 4
5 Tottenham 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Bournemouth 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Sheffield United 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Everton 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Man United 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Burnley 2 1 0 1 +2 3
11 Norwich 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Leicester 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Wolves 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Crystal Palace 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Chelsea 2 0 1 1 -4 1
16 West Ham 2 0 1 1 -5 1
17 Aston Villa 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Newcastle 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Southampton 2 0 0 2 -4 0
20 Watford 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolves Man United
24′
🟨 Daniel James
27′
A. Martial 0–1
M. Rashford
Half-time 0–1
Adama Traoré 🔁
↦ M. Doherty
46′
Rúben Neves 🟨
51′
1–1 Rúben Neves
João Moutinho
55′
Ryan Bennett 🟨
67′
81′
🔁 Mata
↦ J. Lingard
84′
🟨 Aaron Wan-Bissaka
Pedro Neto 🔁
↦ Diogo Jota
86′
89′
🔁 M. Greenwood
↦ D. James
89′
🔁 Andreas Pereira
↦ M. Rashford
P. Cutrone 🔁
↦ R. Jiménez
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Wolves

3-5-2
11 Rui Patrício G
5 R. Bennett D
15 W. Boly D
2 M. Doherty M
16 C. Coady D
19 Jonny Castro M
28 João Moutinho M
32 L. Dendoncker M
8 Rúben Neves M
9 R. Jiménez F
18 Diogo Jota F
Bench (7)
37 Adama Traoré
7 Pedro Neto
10 P. Cutrone
17 M. Gibbs-White
21 J. Ruddy
29 Rúben Vinagre
27 R. Saïss

Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo

Man United

4-2-3-1
1 David de Gea G
2 V. Lindelöf D
5 H. Maguire D
23 L. Shaw D
29 A. Wan-Bissaka D
6 P. Pogba M
14 J. Lingard M
21 D. James M
39 S. McTominay M
9 A. Martial F
10 M. Rashford M
Bench (7)
8 Mata
26 M. Greenwood
15 Andreas Pereira
22 S. Romero
38 A. Tuanzebe
18 A. Young
31 N. Matić

Coach: O. Solskjær

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,32
U ✓
3,28
B
2,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,12
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jonathan Moss · 145 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.