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Primeira Liga

Referee: Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo

Arouca

U U T S T

1–2

Full-time

Benfica

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arouca Benfica

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

0,7

2,0

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%

5 Shots 23

1 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 6

6 Goalkeeper saves 0

0 Corners 6

3 Offside 4

15 Free kicks against 17

6 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Arouca 12. · Benfica 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Benfica	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Vitoria Setubal	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Sp Braga	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Guimaraes	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Porto	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Boavista	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Chaves	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Moreirense	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Rio Ave	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Belenenses	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Arouca	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Feirense	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Maritimo	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Estoril	3	0	0	3	-5	0
18	Nacional	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitoria Setubal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Benfica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Chaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Belenenses	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Moreirense	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Nacional	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Tondela	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Estoril	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Sp Braga	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Chaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Porto	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Feirense	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Belenenses	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Rio Ave	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Boavista	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Nacional	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Arouca	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.