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Primeira Liga
Referee: Artur Soares Dias
Gil Vicente
S T T U U
1–2
Full-time
Porto
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gil Vicente Porto
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,8
This season — Primeira Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

36% Possession 64%
8 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 17
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gil Vicente 7. · Porto 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 6 6 0 0 +13 18
2 Sp Lisbon 7 5 2 0 +8 17
3 Porto 6 4 2 0 +11 14
4 Estoril 6 4 1 1 +5 13
5 Sp Braga 6 3 2 1 +4 11
6 Portimonense 6 3 1 2 +3 10
7 Gil Vicente 6 2 2 2 +1 8
8 Boavista 6 2 2 2 +0 8
9 Pacos Ferreira 6 2 2 2 -2 8
10 Guimaraes 6 1 4 1 +3 7
11 Maritimo 7 1 3 3 -3 6
12 Vizela 6 1 3 2 -6 6
13 Arouca 6 1 2 3 -6 5
14 Santa Clara 6 1 1 4 -10 4
15 Famalicao 6 0 3 3 -4 3
16 Tondela 6 1 0 5 -5 3
17 Belenenses 6 0 3 3 -5 3
18 Moreirense 6 0 3 3 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gil Vicente Porto
9′
M. Taremi 0–1
Zé Carlos ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
21′
23′
🟨 Chancel Mbemba
1–1 Samuel Lino
24′
Half-time 1–1
50′
🟨 Fábio Vieira
A. Léautey 🔁
↦ Samuel Lino
64′
Vítor Carvalho 🟨
66′
68′
🔁 Toni Martínez
↦ Vitinha
68′
🔁 Sérgio Oliveira
↦ Fábio Vieira
Matheus Bueno 🔁
↦ K. Fujimoto
70′
74′
🔁 João Mário
↦ J. Corona
Antoine Leautey 🟨
81′
84′
🔁 Pepê Aquino
↦ L. Díaz
84′
🔁 Francisco Conceição
↦ M. Uribe
Matheus Bueno 🟨
87′
87′
🟨 Wendell
Fran Navarro 🟨
88′
89′
Sérgio Oliveira 1–2
Lucas Cunha 🟨
90′
Élder Santana 🔁
↦ Vitor Carvalho
90′
91′
🟨 Otávio
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Gil Vicente

4-3-3
1 Ž. Frelih G
26 Rúben Fernandes D
31 Talocha D
3 Lucas Cunha D
2 Zé Carlos D
8 Pedrinho M
21 Vitor Carvalho M
10 K. Fujimoto M
77 Murilo F
9 Fran Navarro F
29 Samuel Lino F
Bench (9)
11 A. Léautey
57 Matheus Bueno
93 Élder Santana
7 B. Aouacheria
15 G. Aburjania
17 Boubacar Hanne
5 E. Hackman
55 Henrique Gomes
12 Brian Araújo

Coach: Ricardo Soares

Porto

4-2-3-1
99 Diogo Costa G
5 Iván Marcano D
22 Wendell D
19 C. Mbemba D
8 M. Uribe M
25 Otávio M
20 Vitinha M
50 Fábio Vieira M
17 J. Corona D
9 M. Taremi F
7 L. Díaz M
Bench (9)
29 Toni Martínez
27 Sérgio Oliveira
23 João Mário
11 Pepê Aquino
10 Francisco Conceição
2 Fábio Cardoso
30 Evanilson
14 Cláudio Ramos
16 M. Grujić

Coach: Sérgio Conceição

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,88
U
4,48
B ✓
1,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,85
U2,5
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Artur Soares Dias · 181 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.