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Primeira Liga

Referee: João Ferreira

Moreirense

U T S U T

1–1

Full-time

Pacos Ferreira

U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moreirense Pacos Ferreira

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

1,7

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 17%

11%

22%

Points per game

0,8

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

67%

44%

Both score Ø 56%

67%

44%

Average goals

3,0

2,1

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

1,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

7 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 7

1 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Moreirense 17. · Pacos Ferreira 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	10	8	2	0	+18	26
2	Sp Lisbon	10	8	2	0	+11	26
3	Benfica	10	8	1	1	+15	25
4	Sp Braga	10	5	4	1	+8	19
5	Estoril	10	5	4	1	+7	19
6	Portimonense	10	4	2	4	-1	14
7	Guimaraes	10	3	4	3	+2	13
8	Gil Vicente	10	3	3	4	+0	12
9	Boavista	10	2	5	3	-3	11
10	Pacos Ferreira	9	2	4	3	-3	10
11	Tondela	10	3	0	7	-6	9
12	Arouca	10	2	3	5	-6	9
13	Vizela	10	1	6	3	-7	9
14	Belenenses	10	1	5	4	-6	8
15	Famalicao	10	1	4	5	-4	7
16	Maritimo	10	1	4	5	-5	7
17	Moreirense	9	1	4	4	-7	7
18	Santa Clara	10	1	3	6	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	6	5	1	0	+8	16
2	Porto	5	5	0	0	+14	15
3	Boavista	5	2	3	0	+5	9
4	Benfica	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Sp Braga	5	2	2	1	+4	8
6	Guimaraes	5	2	1	2	+2	7
7	Arouca	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Pacos Ferreira	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Vizela	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Estoril	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Tondela	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Belenenses	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Santa Clara	5	1	2	2	-6	5
14	Moreirense	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Gil Vicente	5	1	1	3	-1	4
16	Portimonense	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Famalicao	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Maritimo	5	0	3	2	-3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Estoril	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Porto	5	3	2	0	+4	11
4	Sp Braga	5	3	2	0	+4	11
5	Sp Lisbon	4	3	1	0	+3	10
6	Portimonense	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	Gil Vicente	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Guimaraes	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Famalicao	5	1	1	3	-2	4
10	Maritimo	5	1	1	3	-2	4
11	Pacos Ferreira	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Tondela	5	1	0	4	-4	3
13	Belenenses	5	0	3	2	-4	3
14	Moreirense	5	0	3	2	-6	3
15	Vizela	5	0	3	2	-7	3
16	Arouca	5	0	2	3	-6	2
17	Boavista	5	0	2	3	-8	2
18	Santa Clara	5	0	1	4	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.