Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Dijon
Valenciennes
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Toulouse
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 |
Ajaccio
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | +8 | 19 |
| 3 |
Sochaux
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |
Auxerre
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |
Paris FC
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 16 |
| 6 |
Pau FC
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 7 |
Le Havre
|
9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 |
Nimes
|
9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |
Rodez
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 10 |
Niort
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 |
Caen
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 11 |
| 12 |
Quevilly Rouen
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |
Guingamp
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |
Dijon
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 |
Grenoble
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 |
Valenciennes
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 |
Amiens
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 18 |
Bastia
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 19 |
Dunkerque
|
9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 3 |
| 20 |
Nancy
|
9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -13 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Caen
Dijon
Dijon
Dunkerque
Dijon
Bastia
Pau FC
Dijon
Dijon
Toulouse
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.