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Primeira Liga

Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida

Famalicao

S S S T T

1–2

Full-time

Porto

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Famalicao Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,7

Scored

1,3

3,0

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+2,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

0,0

2,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

36% Possession 64%

7 Shots 12

1 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 2

4 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Famalicao 14. · Porto 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Gil Vicente	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Estoril	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Tondela	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Pacos Ferreira	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Vizela	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Guimaraes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Arouca	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Pacos Ferreira	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Vizela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Estoril	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Guimaraes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-3	0
13	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-3	0
14	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.