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Primeira Liga

Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro

Sp Lisbon

S S U U S

1–0

Full-time

Maritimo

S U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Maritimo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

72% Possession 28%

25 Shots 4

7 Shots on target 0

9 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 0

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sp Lisbon 3. · Maritimo 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	6	6	0	0	+13	18
2	Porto	6	4	2	0	+11	14
3	Sp Lisbon	6	4	2	0	+7	14
4	Estoril	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Sp Braga	6	3	2	1	+4	11
6	Portimonense	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	Gil Vicente	6	2	2	2	+1	8
8	Boavista	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	Pacos Ferreira	6	2	2	2	-2	8
10	Guimaraes	6	1	4	1	+3	7
11	Maritimo	6	1	3	2	-2	6
12	Vizela	6	1	3	2	-6	6
13	Arouca	6	1	2	3	-6	5
14	Santa Clara	6	1	1	4	-10	4
15	Famalicao	6	0	3	3	-4	3
16	Tondela	6	1	0	5	-5	3
17	Belenenses	6	0	3	3	-5	3
18	Moreirense	6	0	3	3	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Boavista	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Sp Lisbon	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Vizela	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Guimaraes	3	1	1	1	+3	4
7	Gil Vicente	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Sp Braga	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Pacos Ferreira	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Estoril	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Arouca	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	-4	4
13	Tondela	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Portimonense	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Belenenses	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Famalicao	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Maritimo	3	0	2	1	-2	2
18	Moreirense	3	0	1	2	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Estoril	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Portimonense	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Sp Braga	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Sp Lisbon	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Porto	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Maritimo	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Gil Vicente	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Pacos Ferreira	3	1	1	1	-2	4
10	Guimaraes	3	0	3	0	+0	3
11	Moreirense	3	0	2	1	-5	2
12	Famalicao	3	0	1	2	-3	1
13	Belenenses	3	0	1	2	-4	1
14	Boavista	3	0	1	2	-5	1
15	Arouca	3	0	1	2	-5	1
16	Vizela	3	0	1	2	-7	1
17	Tondela	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Santa Clara	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.