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Primeira Liga

Referee: Tiago Martins

Boavista

U S T T U

1–1

Full-time

Tondela

T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Tondela

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 27%

20%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

50%

47%

Both score Ø 49%

50%

47%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,5

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

22 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

8 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Boavista 16. · Tondela 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	31	24	7	0	+41	79
2	Porto	31	21	8	2	+34	71
3	Benfica	31	20	7	4	+37	67
4	Sp Braga	31	18	5	8	+19	59
5	Pacos Ferreira	31	14	7	10	+0	49
6	Guimaraes	31	12	6	13	-4	42
7	Santa Clara	31	10	7	14	+1	37
8	Belenenses	31	8	13	10	-6	37
9	Moreirense	31	8	13	10	-9	37
10	Gil Vicente	31	10	5	16	-10	35
11	Tondela	30	10	5	15	-17	35
12	Portimonense	31	9	7	15	-5	34
13	Famalicao	31	8	10	13	-9	34
14	Maritimo	31	10	3	18	-16	33
15	Rio Ave	31	6	13	12	-12	31
16	Boavista	30	6	11	13	-11	29
17	Farense	31	6	10	15	-10	28
18	Nacional	31	6	7	18	-23	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	15	11	4	0	+19	37
2	Porto	15	11	3	1	+17	36
3	Benfica	16	11	3	2	+15	36
4	Sp Braga	16	10	3	3	+11	33
5	Pacos Ferreira	15	10	2	3	+6	32
6	Tondela	15	8	2	5	+0	26
7	Belenenses	16	6	5	5	-1	23
8	Portimonense	15	6	4	5	+4	22
9	Guimaraes	15	7	1	7	-3	22
10	Santa Clara	15	5	5	5	+5	20
11	Moreirense	16	3	10	3	-2	19
12	Rio Ave	16	4	6	6	-3	18
13	Maritimo	16	5	2	9	-11	17
14	Famalicao	16	3	7	6	-8	16
15	Farense	16	3	6	7	-2	15
16	Boavista	15	4	3	8	-6	15
17	Gil Vicente	15	4	3	8	-6	15
18	Nacional	15	4	3	8	-8	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	16	13	3	0	+22	42
2	Porto	16	10	5	1	+17	35
3	Benfica	15	9	4	2	+22	31
4	Sp Braga	15	8	2	5	+8	26
5	Guimaraes	16	5	5	6	-1	20
6	Gil Vicente	16	6	2	8	-4	20
7	Famalicao	15	5	3	7	-1	18
8	Moreirense	15	5	3	7	-7	18
9	Santa Clara	16	5	2	9	-4	17
10	Pacos Ferreira	16	4	5	7	-6	17
11	Maritimo	15	5	1	9	-5	16
12	Boavista	15	2	8	5	-5	14
13	Belenenses	15	2	8	5	-5	14
14	Farense	15	3	4	8	-8	13
15	Rio Ave	15	2	7	6	-9	13
16	Portimonense	16	3	3	10	-9	12
17	Nacional	16	2	4	10	-15	10
18	Tondela	15	2	3	10	-17	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.