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KNVB Beker

Referee: J Kamphuis

AZ Alkmaar

S S S U U

1–2

Full-time

Utrecht

U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,7

3,7

Scored

3,2

2,0

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,3

This season — KNVB Beker · 1/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

5,0

3,5

Scored

4,0

3,0

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

27 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 5

10 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

14 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 21. · Utrecht 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	De Treffers	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Spakenburg	3	3	0	0	+3	9
3	Blauw Geel	3	2	0	1	+5	6
4	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	De Graafschap	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Hercules	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Katwijk	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
11	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Go Ahead Eagles	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	FC Emmen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
14	NAC Breda	2	2	0	0	+2	6
15	HV & CV Quick	3	2	0	1	+1	6
16	URK	3	2	0	1	+0	6
17	Sportlust '46	3	2	0	1	-1	6
18	Staphorst	3	1	1	1	+1	4
19	Hoek	3	1	1	1	+0	4
20	Kozakken Boys	3	1	1	1	-1	4
21	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	OFC Oostzaan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
23	Groningen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
24	Volendam	2	1	0	1	+2	3
25	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+2	3
29	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Den Bosch	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Dongen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	FC Eindhoven	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	TEC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Almere City	2	1	0	1	-2	3
44	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
45	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-1	1
53	RKAV Volendam	2	0	1	1	-2	1
54	DEM	2	0	1	1	-3	1
55	Harkemase Boys	2	0	1	1	-4	1
56	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	De Treffers	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+3	3
4	Staphorst	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	OFC Oostzaan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Blauw Geel	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
19	URK	2	1	0	1	-1	3
20	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
21	Almere City	2	1	0	1	-2	3
22	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
23	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Kozakken Boys	2	0	1	1	-2	1
30	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	DEM	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Sportlust '46	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	De Graafschap	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Utrecht	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	HV & CV Quick	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	FC Emmen	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Spakenburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Sportlust '46	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Hoek	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Volendam	2	1	0	1	+2	3
15	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
17	Cambuur	2	1	0	1	+2	3
18	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Den Bosch	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Kozakken Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	URK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Excelsior '31	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Dongen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	3
31	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	3
32	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	RKAV Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Harkemase Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	DEM	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Staphorst	2	0	1	1	-2	1
38	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	TEC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.