Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Troyes
Le Havre
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Clermont
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 2 |
Lorient
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 3 |
Lens
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 | Chambly | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 5 |
Rodez
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 6 |
Ajaccio
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 |
Troyes
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Auxerre
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 9 |
Le Havre
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| 10 |
Nancy
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| 11 |
Sochaux
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| 12 |
Grenoble
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 |
Valenciennes
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 |
Caen
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 |
Orleans
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 |
Guingamp
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 |
Niort
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 |
Paris FC
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 |
Chateauroux
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 |
Le Mans
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Troyes
Clermont
Niort
Troyes
Troyes
Monaco
Montpellier
Troyes
Lyon
Troyes
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.