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2. Bundesliga

Erzgebirge Aue

T T U T T

2–3

Full-time

Holstein Kiel

U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzgebirge Aue Holstein Kiel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

0,5

1,7

Conceded

2,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-2,3

+0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 24%

14%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

52%

71%

Both score Ø 57%

52%

62%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

12 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 4

5 Corners 3

14 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzgebirge Aue 17. · Holstein Kiel 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	21	12	3	6	+18	39
2	St Pauli	21	11	5	5	+13	38
3	Werder Bremen	21	11	5	5	+12	38
4	Hamburg	21	9	10	2	+19	37
5	Schalke 04	21	11	4	6	+17	37
6	Heidenheim	21	11	4	6	+2	37
7	Nurnberg	21	9	6	6	+1	33
8	Paderborn	21	8	7	6	+10	31
9	Regensburg	21	9	4	8	+8	31
10	Holstein Kiel	21	7	7	7	-5	28
11	Karlsruhe	21	6	8	7	+0	26
12	Hansa Rostock	21	6	6	9	-8	24
13	Dresden	21	7	3	11	-8	24
14	Hannover	21	6	6	9	-14	24
15	Sandhausen	21	6	5	10	-15	23
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	21	5	5	11	-7	20
17	Erzgebirge Aue	21	3	6	12	-22	15
18	Ingolstadt	21	3	4	14	-21	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	10	8	2	0	+19	26
2	Heidenheim	11	7	3	1	+8	24
3	Hamburg	11	5	6	0	+11	21
4	Schalke 04	11	6	2	3	+10	20
5	Darmstadt	10	6	1	3	+10	19
6	Werder Bremen	10	5	3	2	+9	18
7	Regensburg	11	5	2	4	+6	17
8	Nurnberg	11	5	2	4	+1	17
9	Holstein Kiel	11	5	2	4	-2	17
10	Karlsruhe	11	4	4	3	+3	16
11	Dresden	10	5	1	4	+3	16
12	Hannover	10	3	3	4	-5	12
13	Paderborn	11	2	3	6	-3	9
14	Hansa Rostock	10	2	3	5	-6	9
15	Erzgebirge Aue	11	2	2	7	-12	8
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	1	4	5	-3	7
17	Ingolstadt	10	1	3	6	-8	6
18	Sandhausen	10	1	3	6	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	10	6	4	0	+13	22
2	Darmstadt	11	6	2	3	+8	20
3	Werder Bremen	11	6	2	3	+3	20
4	Schalke 04	10	5	2	3	+7	17
5	Sandhausen	11	5	2	4	-2	17
6	Hamburg	10	4	4	2	+8	16
7	Nurnberg	10	4	4	2	+0	16
8	Hansa Rostock	11	4	3	4	-2	15
9	Regensburg	10	4	2	4	+2	14
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	4	1	6	-4	13
11	Heidenheim	10	4	1	5	-6	13
12	St Pauli	11	3	3	5	-6	12
13	Hannover	11	3	3	5	-9	12
14	Holstein Kiel	10	2	5	3	-3	11
15	Karlsruhe	10	2	4	4	-3	10
16	Dresden	11	2	2	7	-11	8
17	Erzgebirge Aue	10	1	4	5	-10	7
18	Ingolstadt	11	2	1	8	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.