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Serie A

Referee: Davide Massa

Pisa

T U T U U

0–0

Full-time

Lazio

T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pisa Lazio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 19%

38%

Points per game

0,5

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

38%

Both score Ø 26%

38%

13%

Average goals

2,1

2,3

Scored

0,6

1,4

Conceded

1,5

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,93 xG 0,48

39% Possession 61%

10 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 0

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pisa 18. · Lazio 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Napoli	9	7	0	2	+8	+4.1	21
2	Roma	9	7	0	2	+6	+2.8	21
3	Inter	9	6	0	3	+11	+10.1	18
4	Milan	9	5	3	1	+7	+3.6	18
5	Como	9	4	4	1	+6	+2.1	16
6	Bologna	9	4	3	2	+6	+0.4	15
7	Juventus	9	4	3	2	+3	+3.9	15
8	Cremonese	9	3	5	1	+1	-4.9	14
9	Atalanta	9	2	7	0	+6	+5.7	13
10	Sassuolo	9	4	1	4	+0	-3.8	13
11	Udinese	9	3	3	3	-4	-1.9	12
12	Torino	9	3	3	3	-6	-3.0	12
13	Lazio	8	3	2	3	+4	-2.0	11
14	Cagliari	9	2	3	4	-3	-7.1	9
15	Parma	9	1	4	4	-5	-1.5	7
16	Lecce	9	1	3	5	-7	-4.3	6
17	Verona	9	0	5	4	-9	+0.9	5
18	Pisa	8	0	4	4	-7	-5.1	4
19	Fiorentina	9	0	4	5	-8	-1.6	4
20	Genoa	9	0	3	6	-9	+1.4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	5	4	0	1	+11	+7.2	12
2	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+5	-0.2	12
3	Como	5	3	2	0	+6	+2.0	11
4	Juventus	5	3	2	0	+5	+4.3	11
5	Bologna	4	3	1	0	+6	+4.9	10
6	Milan	5	3	1	1	+2	+1.4	10
7	Roma	5	3	0	2	+2	+1.6	9
8	Lazio	4	2	1	1	+4	+2.0	7
9	Atalanta	5	1	4	0	+3	+5.9	7
10	Torino	4	2	1	1	-1	-1.8	7
11	Cremonese	4	1	3	0	+1	+1.8	6
12	Sassuolo	4	2	0	2	+0	-1.2	6
13	Parma	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.7	5
14	Udinese	4	1	2	1	-2	+1.4	5
15	Cagliari	5	1	1	3	-3	-4.0	4
16	Verona	4	0	3	1	-1	+3.0	3
17	Pisa	4	0	2	2	-2	-1.7	2
18	Lecce	5	0	2	3	-4	-1.7	2
19	Genoa	5	0	2	3	-6	+2.3	2
20	Fiorentina	4	0	1	3	-4	+0.5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Roma	4	4	0	0	+4	+1.3	12
2	Napoli	5	3	0	2	+3	+4.4	9
3	Milan	4	2	2	0	+5	+2.3	8
4	Cremonese	5	2	2	1	+0	-6.6	8
5	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	+0	-2.6	7
6	Udinese	5	2	1	2	-2	-3.4	7
7	Atalanta	4	1	3	0	+3	-0.3	6
8	Inter	4	2	0	2	+0	+2.8	6
9	Bologna	5	1	2	2	+0	-4.5	5
10	Cagliari	4	1	2	1	+0	-3.1	5
11	Como	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.1	5
12	Torino	5	1	2	2	-5	-1.2	5
13	Lazio	4	1	1	2	+0	-4.0	4
14	Juventus	4	1	1	2	-2	-0.5	4
15	Lecce	4	1	1	2	-3	-2.5	4
16	Fiorentina	5	0	3	2	-4	-2.2	3
17	Pisa	4	0	2	2	-5	-3.5	2
18	Parma	5	0	2	3	-5	-2.1	2
19	Verona	5	0	2	3	-8	-2.0	2
20	Genoa	4	0	1	3	-3	-0.9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.