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Copa del Rey
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Ávila Real Avilés
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Palma del Rio 2 2 0 0 +10 6
2 Sant Just 3 2 0 1 +4 6
3 CD Sant Jordi 3 2 0 1 -2 6
4 Puerto de Vega 3 1 1 1 +2 4
5 Deportivo Getxo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Maracena 3 1 1 1 -3 4
7 CD Yuncos 3 1 1 1 -3 4
8 Inter de Valdemoro 3 1 1 1 -9 4
9 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +11 3
10 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +6 3
11 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
12 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +5 3
13 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +5 3
14 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Granada 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Elche 1 1 0 0 +4 3
17 Santander 1 1 0 0 +4 3
18 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +4 3
19 CF Talavera 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Numancia 1 1 0 0 +3 3
23 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +3 3
24 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +3 3
25 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
26 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Extremadura 1924 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Cultural Leonesa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 Torrent 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
36 Celta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
37 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
38 Levante 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Navalcarnero 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Guadalajara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Sabadell 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Sant Andreu 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Portugalete 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Cieza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 SD Negreira 3 1 0 2 +0 3
50 Manises 2 1 0 1 +0 3
51 Textil Escudo 2 1 0 1 -3 3
52 Los Garres 3 1 0 2 -4 3
53 Quintanar del Rey 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Ibiza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Atlético Astorga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Mirandes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Ebro 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Tarazona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 UD Ourense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Pontevedra 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Reddis 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Europa Fc 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Langreo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Ferrol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Betis Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -1 1
66 Universitario FC 2 0 1 1 -2 1
67 Sporting Ceuta 2 0 1 1 -2 1
68 Campanario 2 0 1 1 -2 1
69 Alberite 2 0 1 1 -4 1
70 Orihuela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Constància 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Mérida AD 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Atlético Tordesillas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Valladolid 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Caudal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Puente Genil 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Oviedo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Ucam Murcia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Las Palmas 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Tropezón 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Mutilvera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 La Unión Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
92 Azuaga 1 0 0 1 -3 0
93 Lourdes 2 0 0 2 -3 0
94 Toledo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
95 Arenas Getxo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
96 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
97 San Fernando CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
98 Valle Egüés 1 0 0 1 -4 0
99 Roda 1 0 0 1 -4 0
100 SD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -4 0
101 RSD Alcalá 1 0 0 1 -4 0
102 Atletico Calatayud 2 0 0 2 -6 0
103 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -6 0
104 Atlético Melilla 2 0 0 2 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Real Ávila Real Avilés
18′
🟨 J. Rodriguez
29′
🔁 P. Alvarez
↦ Y. El Arbaoui
Half-time 0–0
C. Perez 🔁
↦ F. Sisse
46′
60′
🟨 A. Gete
G. Serrano Iranzo 🔁
↦ A. Carrion
62′
Runy 🔁
↦ D. Lorenzo
63′
64′
🟨 V. Diaz
65′
🔁 R. Hernandez
↦ Q. Bari
65′
🔁 K. Bautista
↦ J. Cueto
65′
🔁 R. Rubio
↦ N. Poquet
A. Moreno 🟨
69′
C. Pascual 🔁
↦ B. Fall
79′
P. Luz 🔁
↦ M. Sarr
83′
83′
🔁 Isi Ros
↦ B. Cayarga
C. Perez 🟨
92′
106′
🔁 A. Gomez
↦ A. Gete
1–0 Vitolo
108′
M. Ruiz 🔁
113′
122′
🟨 Isi Ros
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Real Ávila

13 S. Rodriguez
23 G. L. Urbina
29 B. Fall
4 S. Lauture
3 P. Ngaah
8 F. Sisse
21 A. Moreno
6 Vitolo
10 A. Carrion
9 D. Lorenzo
30 M. Sarr
Bench (11)
1 O. Lopez
2 I. Doumbia
5 C. Pascual
7 Runy
12 C. Perez
15 Braian
16 M. Ruiz
17 Marquitos
19 G. Serrano Iranzo
20 P. Luz
22 F. Garrido Diaz

Coach: Aitor Martinez

Real Avilés

13 N. Almodovar
2 G. Ortega
4 J. Rodriguez
15 E. Chukwuma
3 V. Diaz
17 Q. Bari
18 A. Gete
23 Y. El Arbaoui
14 B. Cayarga
10 J. Cueto
19 N. Poquet
Bench (10)
1 A. Fernandez
5 J. Babin
7 R. Hernandez
8 K. Bautista
11 R. Rubio
16 A. Gomez
20 E. Campabadal
21 P. Alvarez
22 Isi Ros
26 O. Carracedo

Coach: Escobar Lolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.