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Copa del Rey
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Murcia Antequera
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,5
3,0
Scored
0,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Palma del Rio 2 2 0 0 +10 6
2 Sant Just 3 2 0 1 +4 6
3 CD Sant Jordi 3 2 0 1 -2 6
4 Puerto de Vega 3 1 1 1 +2 4
5 Maracena 3 1 1 1 -3 4
6 CD Yuncos 3 1 1 1 -3 4
7 Deportivo Getxo 3 1 1 1 -6 4
8 Inter de Valdemoro 3 1 1 1 -9 4
9 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +11 3
10 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +7 3
11 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +6 3
12 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
13 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +5 3
14 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +5 3
15 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Granada 1 1 0 0 +4 3
17 Elche 1 1 0 0 +4 3
18 Santander 1 1 0 0 +4 3
19 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +4 3
20 CF Talavera 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
22 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
23 Numancia 1 1 0 0 +3 3
24 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +3 3
25 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +3 3
26 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
27 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Eibar 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Ponferradina 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Extremadura 1924 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 Cultural Leonesa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 Torrent 1 1 0 0 +2 3
36 Atlético Baleares 1 1 0 0 +2 3
37 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +2 3
38 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
39 Celta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
40 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
41 Levante 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Navalcarnero 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Guadalajara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Sabadell 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Sant Andreu 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Real Ávila 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Portugalete 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Cieza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 SD Negreira 3 1 0 2 +0 3
54 Manises 2 1 0 1 +0 3
55 Textil Escudo 2 1 0 1 -3 3
56 Los Garres 3 1 0 2 -4 3
57 Quintanar del Rey 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Ibiza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Atlético Astorga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Mirandes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Ebro 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Tarazona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 UD Ourense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Pontevedra 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Reddis 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Europa Fc 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Langreo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Ferrol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Betis Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -1 1
70 Universitario FC 2 0 1 1 -2 1
71 Sporting Ceuta 2 0 1 1 -2 1
72 Campanario 2 0 1 1 -2 1
73 Alberite 2 0 1 1 -4 1
74 Orihuela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Constància 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Mérida AD 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Atlético Tordesillas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Real Avilés 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Valladolid 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Caudal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Cordoba 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Puente Genil 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Oviedo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 UD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Ucam Murcia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Las Palmas 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Tropezón 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Mutilvera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Gimnastic 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 La Unión Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
99 Azuaga 1 0 0 1 -3 0
100 Lourdes 2 0 0 2 -3 0
101 Toledo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
102 Arenas Getxo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
103 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
104 San Fernando CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
105 Valle Egüés 1 0 0 1 -4 0
106 Roda 1 0 0 1 -4 0
107 SD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -4 0
108 RSD Alcalá 1 0 0 1 -4 0
109 Atletico Calatayud 2 0 0 2 -6 0
110 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -6 0
111 Atlético Melilla 2 0 0 2 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Real Murcia Antequera
1–0 E. Zenitagoia
40′
Half-time 1–0
J. Mier 🔁
↦ R. Llobell
46′
Juan Carlos 🔁
↦ S. Moyita
46′
C. Romero 🔁
↦ A. Bustos
56′
A. P. Benito P. 🔁
↦ Joao Pedro Palmberg
57′
D. Bosilj 🔁
↦ E. Zenitagoia
57′
58′
E. Sanchez 1–1
61′
🟨 M. Bassele
63′
🔁 A. Gene
↦ L. Rivas
63′
🔁 Ribeiro
↦ I. Gonzalez
76′
🔁 Luismi Gutierrez
↦ O. Siddiki
86′
🔁 J. Aspra
↦ R. Diz Acena
86′
🔁 D. Ramos
↦ A. Quintana
91′
🟨 Barbu
H. Perez 🟨
95′
P. Leon 🔁
↦ S. Djanbou
95′
106′
🔁 I. Rodriguez
↦ E. Sanchez
109′
🟨 J. Anton
113′
🟨 Luismi Gutierrez
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Real Murcia

1 G. Gazzaniga
33 R. Llobell
26 H. Perez
6 A. Gonzalez
4 A. Lopez
7 S. Moyita
31 S. Djanbou
10 I. Gomez
11 A. Bustos
30 Joao Pedro Palmberg
20 E. Zenitagoia
Bench (11)
2 J. Mier
3 C. Romero
8 A. Schalk
34 J. G. Sanchez
22 Juan Carlos
29 A. Sarabia
14 P. Leon
9 A. P. Benito P.
19 Matheus Cadorini
23 D. Bosilj
35 S. Kajaia

Coach: Curro Torres

Antequera

1 S. Perez
2 J. Anton
15 Raul Gimenez
4 Barbu
14 E. Sanchez
23 R. Diz Acena
22 A. Quintana
18 M. Bassele
17 I. Gonzalez
11 O. Siddiki
24 L. Rivas
Bench (12)
I. Morales
13 D. Alcover
27 A. Di Criscio
26 C. Ortiz
19 I. Rodriguez
20 J. Aspra
10 Luismi Gutierrez
6 D. Ramos
12 V. Ajouaou
21 O. Chit
16 A. Gene
9 Ribeiro

Coach: Abraham Paz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.