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Serie A
Referee: V Marini
Juventus
T S S S T
3–0
Full-time
Crotone
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Crotone
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
17%
100%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,2
This season — Serie A · 21/22 matches
Win Ø 36%
57%
14%
Points per game
2,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
48%
73%
Both score Ø 61%
57%
64%
Average goals
2,9
3,4
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,9
2,4
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

59% Possession 41%
26 Shots 16
9 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juventus 6. · Crotone 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 23 16 5 2 +33 53
2 Milan 23 15 4 4 +17 49
3 Roma 23 13 5 5 +12 44
4 Atalanta 23 12 7 4 +22 43
5 Lazio 23 13 4 6 +8 43
6 Juventus 21 12 6 3 +22 42
7 Napoli 22 13 1 8 +22 40
8 Sassuolo 23 9 8 6 +3 35
9 Verona 23 9 7 7 +4 34
10 Sampdoria 23 9 3 11 -1 30
11 Genoa 23 6 8 9 -7 26
12 Bologna 23 6 7 10 -7 25
13 Udinese 23 6 7 10 -8 25
14 Fiorentina 23 6 7 10 -10 25
15 Benevento 23 6 7 10 -17 25
16 Spezia 23 6 6 11 -11 24
17 Torino 23 3 11 9 -8 20
18 Cagliari 23 3 6 14 -17 15
19 Parma 23 2 8 13 -28 14
20 Crotone 22 3 3 16 -29 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juventus Crotone
Aaron Ramsey 🟨
20′
1–0 Cristiano Ronaldo
Alex Sandro
38′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Cristiano Ronaldo
A. Ramsey
46′
46′
🔁 L. Marrone
↦ S. Luperto
Danilo 🟨
50′
52′
🟨 Luca Marrone
3–0 W. McKennie
66′
67′
🔁 A. Rispoli
↦ A. Reca
N. Fagioli 🔁
↦ R. Bentancur
70′
71′
🔁 N. Zanellato
↦ S. Molina
72′
🔁 S. Nwankwo
↦ A. Ounas
F. Bernardeschi 🔁
↦ A. Ramsey
76′
Morata 🔁
↦ D. Kulusevski
76′
76′
🔁 E. Rivière
↦ S. Di Carmine
G. Frabotta 🔁
↦ Alex Sandro
86′
A. Di Pardo 🔁
↦ F. Chiesa
86′
Gianluca Frabotta 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,16
U
7,62
B
17,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,48
U2,5
2,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.